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Company Earnings
Stellantis Targets Low-Single-Digit Margin After €2.3 Billion Loss
Authors
10
5 days ago
Prediction markets for Fiat
Prediction markets for Fiat
What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)
May 9, 8:42 PM
Jan 1, 7:59 AM
40%
chance
22
17614
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1099
815
World gdp growth from 2023 to 2100? (nominal USD, annualized, 10x amplified) (M10,000 subsidy)
May 22, 2:13 AM
Feb 1, 7:59 AM
64%
chance
30
14612
Option
Votes
NO
YES
13272
8386
Will cryptocurrency replace a major Fiat currency as a primary means of transaction in any country by 2027?
Jan 11, 11:56 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
29.35%
chance
20
637
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1020
912
Will Bitcoin or another cryptocurrency replace the US Dollar by 2030?
Sep 1, 12:39 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
6.12%
chance
7
561
Option
Votes
YES
NO
361
126
Will manifold reintroduce real money betting by 2026?
Apr 26, 8:47 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
18.92%
chance
12
425
Option
Votes
YES
NO
207
48
Will any real money prediction market let you bet using indices rather than fiat/crypto by 2025?
Feb 14, 9:45 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
8.47%
chance
9
407
Option
Votes
YES
NO
470
105
Will the comprehensive rulebook of Magic: The Gathering contain no errors at any point before 2030?
Jan 30, 5:06 AM
Jan 1, 8:00 AM
4.7%
chance
6
332
Option
Votes
YES
NO
416
32
Coinbase Outage/Freeze by 2030?
Nov 12, 12:01 AM
Jan 1, 5:59 AM
20.02%
chance
7
182
Option
Votes
YES
NO
234
115
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