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Top stories

Ten-Year-Old Bodhana Sivanandan Beats Grandmaster, Sets Chess Age Record

Ten-Year-Old Bodhana Sivanandan Beats Grandmaster, Sets Chess Age Record

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for FIDE

Will Magnus Carlsen become the FIDE World Chess Champion again by 2031?

Jun 6, 12:50 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

7.54%chance

569525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3248

537

Will FIDE stop granting women's chess titles by the end of 2026?

Jan 13, 5:28 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

3.03%chance

146595

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5653

177

Will there be a transgender FIDE chess grandmaster by the end of 2026?

Jun 13, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

4.54%chance

275488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4585

218

Will FIDE prohibit any freestyle chess participants from participating in the 2026 World Championship cycle?

Jan 25, 3:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

4.24%chance

134865

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4752

210

Will Magnus Carlsen compete for the FIDE Classical World Chess Championship before 2033?

Oct 1, 1:45 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

11.36%chance

323866

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2406

588

Who will be the first chess player to reach 3000 FIDE rating?

Apr 14, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

111924

OptionProbability

Other

Magnus Carlsen

Fabiano Caruana

-placeholder - dont bet

Yi Wei

Alireza Firouzja

Diren Ling

Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus

88

3

2

2

2

2

1

1

Within 25 years there will be a female world chess champion (FIDE).

Jan 20, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

10.81%chance

211728

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1205

948

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

15.29%chance

231479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1860

88

How many players will have an FIDE rating of 2800 or higher at the end of 2029?

Jun 23, 7:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3877

OptionProbability

1

3

2

4

5

6

0

7

8

9

10 or more

23

20

18

10

7

6

5

3

3

2

2

Will Magnus Carlsen be the highest FIDE rating chess player at the end of 2028?

Jan 11, 3:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

46.16%chance

8263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

166

133

Will the highest FIDE chess rating in the world be 2900 or greater on Labor Day 2029?

Dec 13, 3:14 PMSep 9, 3:59 AM

10.36%chance

5171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

204

28

Game 9 FIDE World Chess Championship 2026 Result?

Jul 25, 3:03 PMDec 20, 11:59 PM

4169

OptionProbability

Draw

Gukesh Dommaraju win

Javokhir Sindarov win

No game 9 (match already over)

48

25

25

2

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