Figure AI News

Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Jan 8, 7:47 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38143845

OptionProbability

Hugging Face

DataBricks

ElevenLabs (audio)

Suno (music)

Pinecone (database)

Runway AI

Grammarly

Nous Research (open source, decentralized AI)

Perplexity

Devin (Cognition)

Magic (coding)

Figure AI

Groq

Midjourney

Stability AI

OpenAI

Anthropic

xAI

SSI (Ilya Sutskever)

Cohere

Mistral AI

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2025?

Apr 12, 12:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.3%chance

14627602

OptionVotes

YES

2113

473

When will an AI figure out how to beat Factorio?

Sep 23, 4:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8315269

OptionProbability

2025 Jan - 2027 Jan

2027 Jan - 2030 Jan

2030 Jan or later

2023 Jan - 2025 Jan

Will Figure AI be found to be fraudulent by 2026?

May 18, 6:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.58%chance

265640

OptionVotes

YES

2523

396

Will a benevolent AI create or appoint a human messianic figure within the timeframe of closing + 5yrs?

Nov 9, 2:06 AMDec 26, 5:59 AM

72.12%chance

202561

OptionVotes

YES

1105

860

What will be true about the person who creates AGI?

May 4, 2:42 AMDec 31, 10:59 AM

391914

OptionProbability

He will resolves this market for being a CEO of the AGI company, not for being the well recognized AGI creator

He will be male

He will be a citizen of the USA

As of May 2024 he is already a well-known figure in AI

AGI will manifest itself from a collection of open-source projects and nobody will really understand 'which human' created it.

He will be Jewish

He will be balding

He will have attended a Manifest

He will be 30-years-old or younger

He will be transgender

He will have been in space

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2025? (Freely accessible models only)

Apr 11, 2:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.35%chance

411783

OptionVotes

YES

198

Which Humanoid Robot will first go into production?

Apr 18, 12:09 AMOct 13, 6:59 AM

17603

OptionProbability

Other

Tesla-Optimus

Digit- Agility Robotics

Boston Dynamics - Atlas

Figure AI - Figure 01

By what year will AI figure out how to beat The Outer Wilds?

Aug 2, 6:49 PMAug 9, 9:59 PM

13484

OptionProbability

2050

2040

2030

Will AI analyze a convo history I have with someone to figure out exactly why someone distanced from you by EOY2026

Jan 9, 3:57 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.44%chance

OptionVotes

YES

105

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

48.04%chance

OptionVotes

YES

Will AI figure out who has the highest visual frame compression efficiency to working memory ratio by 2030?

Sep 11, 12:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

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Which AI tech companies will be acquired for more than $1B in 2025? 💰

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2025?

When will an AI figure out how to beat Factorio?

Will Figure AI be found to be fraudulent by 2026?

Will a benevolent AI create or appoint a human messianic figure within the timeframe of closing + 5yrs?

What will be true about the person who creates AGI?

Will a mainstream AI model pass the stick figure arrow name test in 2025? (Freely accessible models only)

Which Humanoid Robot will first go into production?

By what year will AI figure out how to beat The Outer Wilds?

Will AI analyze a convo history I have with someone to figure out exactly why someone distanced from you by EOY2026

Will AI figure out who has the highest processing speed to working memory ratio by 2030?

Will AI figure out who has the highest visual frame compression efficiency to working memory ratio by 2030?

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