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Prediction markets for FIL

Humanity survives a Great Filter

Oct 13, 6:30 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

79.29%chance

2817871

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1957

511

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.55%chance

5914447

OptionVotes

NO

YES

5491

4239

SOAI#7: A movie or short film produced with significant use of AI wins major audience praise and sparks backlash

Oct 9, 11:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.83%chance

292683

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1328

753

Before 2029, will a 90 minute or longer film generated by AI produce over $100,000 in revenue?

Sep 20, 11:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56%chance

161838

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1128

886

Which man younger than Carlos Alcaraz will win the most Grand Slam titles by the end of 2030?

Apr 13, 10:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21500

OptionProbability

Rafael Jódar

João Fonseca

Arthur Fils

Jakub Menšík

Moïse Kouamé

Alexander Blockx

Someone else

Learner Tien

26

11

11

11

11

11

11

9

Will the Senate still have the ability to filibuster in the year 2032?

Apr 12, 12:43 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

55.23%chance

411376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2073

1847

Who will win the 2026 Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Rome ATP 1000)?

May 4, 2:26 PMMay 17, 11:59 PM

121267

OptionProbability

🇮🇹 Jannik Sinner (1)

Other

🇩🇪 Alexander Zverev (2)

🇷🇸 Novak Djokovic (3)

🇫🇷 Arthur Fils (15)

🇪🇸 Rafael Jodar (32)

🇮🇹 Lorenzo Musetti (8)

🇳🇴 Casper Ruud (23)

63

17

6

5

3

3

2

2

Will Chick-fil-A be open on Sundays in 2026?

Oct 17, 1:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.49%chance

7263

OptionVotes

YES

NO

309

32

Which fast food chain in the USA will offer a lab-grown / cultivated meat product first?

Apr 2, 6:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18242

OptionProbability

Other

Burger King

White Castle

Chipotle

Sweetgreen

Shake Shack

Mc Donald's

Panera Bread

Trump House

Kentucky Fried Chicken KFC

The Organic Coup

BurgerFi

Lyfe Kitchen

Sonics

Raising Cane

Arby's

Taco Bell

Wendy's

Popeyes

Chik-fil-A

Checkers/Rallys

Zaxbys

17

12

8

7

7

7

6

6

6

3

3

3

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will a Chick-fil-A streaming app original production be nominated for an Emmy or Oscar?

Aug 22, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10.77%chance

4190

OptionVotes

YES

NO

288

35

Who will be Head of State of Haiti at the start of 2027?

Feb 10, 11:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

125

OptionProbability

Nobody

Multiple people

Alix Didier Fils-Aimé

39

39

21

Will Arthur Fils end the 2026 ATP Tour Season in the top 5?

Apr 25, 2:17 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

48.78%chance

313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

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