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Prediction markets for Filed

[ACX 2026] Will OpenAI file for an IPO during 2026?

Jan 6, 11:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.63%chance

10975946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

23112

2751

Complete Epstein files released before GTA 6 launch?

Nov 7, 12:40 PMJan 1, 11:59 AM

23%chance

4310129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1834

548

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in cannibalism?

Feb 15, 6:30 AMDec 31, 6:29 AM

6.43%chance

497231

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3816

262

Is "jerky" a reference to human meat in Epstein files?

Feb 15, 6:14 AMDec 31, 6:12 AM

9.54%chance

226222

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3079

325

Will A Class Action Lawsuit Be Filed Against Manifold or ManiPlay By End Of 2026?

Dec 21, 11:42 AMJan 9, 4:59 AM

5.4%chance

153657

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4184

239

Will there be arrests over the Epstein files in the US?

Feb 8, 9:05 PMFeb 7, 11:59 PM

23.02%chance

333561

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1829

547

Has anyone from the Epstein files who communicated with him directly (or Epstein himself) engaged in vampirism?

Feb 15, 7:05 AMDec 31, 6:59 AM

21.1%chance

182577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1933

517

Will nearly all of the Epstein files be released before 2027?

Nov 15, 9:07 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

19.39%chance

382060

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2075

701

Will Anthropic file a therapeutic patent before July 2029?

Jun 30, 5:37 PMJun 30, 11:59 PM

59.55%chance

151322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1213

824

Will a federal court filing by the US gov allege that Ilhan Omar's ex-husband is her biological sibling, by EOY 2027?

Oct 22, 8:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.46%chance

131236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Which celebrities/public figures will serve prison time as a result of evidence from either Epstein or Diddy files?

Jan 9, 8:42 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

121207

OptionProbability

At least one person who has won an Emmy

At least one person who has won a Grammy

None

At least one house representative.

At least one senator.

At least one governor.

17

17

15

10

10

7

Will filing taxes in the US be substantially easier in 2028 than 2023?

Apr 19, 1:06 AMApr 17, 6:59 AM

59.61%chance

161034

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

928

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