Finance News

Which 2026 California ballot measures will pass?

Apr 21, 1:25 AMNov 17, 11:59 PM

1224112

OptionProbability

Eliminate State Officer Recall Successor Elections Amendment

Second Mortgage Homebuyer Program and Revenue Bond Initiative

Allow Public Financing of Election Campaigns Measure

Voter ID, Citizenship Verification, and Registered Voter List Initiative

Two-Thirds Vote Requirement for Special Taxes and Charter City Real Estate Transfer Tax Prohibition Initiative

Vote Requirements for Initiatives Requiring Supermajority Votes Amendment

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Aug 27, 6:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.68%chance

12111391

OptionVotes

YES

2024

1915

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Nov 15, 11:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47208

OptionProbability

Chi (Clara) Xu (Wharton)

Jessica Li (Chicago)

Joanna Harris Murphy (Chicago)

Patrick Adams (MIT)

Oliver Xie (Stanford)

Meichen Qian (Chicago)

Guanyu Zhou (Wharton)

Tasaneeya Viratyosin (Wharton)

Ching-Tse Chen (Chicago)

Bianca He (Chicago)

Edoardo Marchesi (Chicago)

Filippo Cavaleri (Chicago)

Christian Kontz (Stanford)

Pauline Liang (Stanford)

Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?

May 1, 10:11 AMJan 1, 10:04 AM

15.77%chance

242953

OptionVotes

YES

2311

433

Will Trump be indicted for crimes related to violating campaign finance laws by the end of 2026?

Mar 22, 2:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.18%chance

161849

OptionVotes

YES

1440

If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

Feb 26, 7:46 AMMay 26, 6:04 AM

25.22%chance

151255

OptionVotes

YES

1722

581

Which Google Products are likely to be discontinued in 2030?

May 23, 7:07 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8572

OptionProbability

Google Groups

Google Shopping (website)

Google Fit

Google Classroom

Google TV (Formely Google Play Movies and TV)

Google Nest

Google One

Google Finance

Google Books

Google Sites

Google Flights

Who Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election?

Jan 25, 11:08 PMNov 21, 11:08 PM

4349

OptionProbability

Nicola Willis

Barbara Edmonds

Other

Shane Jones

Will the closing price of silver exceed $65 at the end of September, 2026 based on the SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance

Sep 4, 4:48 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

61.39%chance

10279

OptionVotes

YES

126

Who will succeed Albo as PM?

Dec 7, 1:11 PMDec 7, 1:09 PM

7217

OptionProbability

Jim Chalmers (Treasurer)

Other

Tony Burke (Cabinet Minister)

Richard Marles (Deputy Prime Minister)

Sussan Ley

Penny Wong (Foreign Affairs Minister)

Chris Bowen (Cabinet Minister)

Tanya Plibersek (Cabinet Minister)

Jason Clare (Cabinet Minister)

Mark Butler (Health Minister)

Katy Gallagher (Finance Minister)

Ed Husic (Cabinet Minister)

Kristina Keneally (Senate Labor Leader)

OpenAI issues crypto asset for financing before 2031?

Oct 17, 9:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

10176

OptionVotes

YES

149

"Prediction Markets Applied to Finance" by Louis Clouatre-Latraverse - Discussion

Oct 4, 5:14 PM

Finance News

Prediction markets for Finance

Prediction markets for Finance

Prediction markets for Finance

Which 2026 California ballot measures will pass?

Will 5,000+ people live in a new city in the Bay Area financed by Silicon Valley moguls by 2030?

Which Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?

Will Apple VP of Finance Alex Roman receive any legal penalty for “lying under oath"?

Will Trump be indicted for crimes related to violating campaign finance laws by the end of 2026?

If I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?

Which Google Products are likely to be discontinued in 2030?

Who Will be Finance Minister after the 2026 NZ Election?

Will the closing price of silver exceed $65 at the end of September, 2026 based on the SI=F ticker on Yahoo Finance

Who will succeed Albo as PM?

OpenAI issues crypto asset for financing before 2031?

"Prediction Markets Applied to Finance" by Louis Clouatre-Latraverse - Discussion

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