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Prediction markets for Financial Institutions

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.33%chance

526330

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3398

2483

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

25

9

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Nov 8, 6:18 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

55.5%chance

17514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

903

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

62.25%chance

18271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

988

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2030?

Jun 9, 5:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

7125

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2100?

Jun 10, 1:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.79%chance

6121

OptionVotes

NO

YES

127

79

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Jun 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.18%chance

566

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

77

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2045?

Jun 9, 5:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

43%chance

444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

115

87

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Jun 9, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.82%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Federal Reserve announces wholesale CBDC pilot before 2028?

Jun 10, 6:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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