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Prediction markets for Financial Institutions

How Much Funding Will a Single Manifold Question Raise for My Antibiotic Research?💊🦠🚀

Feb 24, 12:05 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

11946

OptionProbability

(0, 200]

None

(200, 600]

(600, 1200]

(1200, 2500]

(2500, 5000]

(5000, 10000]

(10000, 15000]

(15000, 24000]

More than $24,000

34

25

9

6

5

5

5

5

4

4

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

30%chance

10916

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1528

655

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2032?

Nov 8, 6:18 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

55.5%chance

17514

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1107

903

Will Columbia University be a going concern on January 20th, 2029?

Apr 13, 2:17 AMJan 20, 11:59 PM

88.89%chance

8431

OptionVotes

NO

YES

283

35

Will 25% or more of my virtual work meetings be in VR / AR by 2042?

Nov 8, 6:22 PMDec 31, 8:00 PM

62.25%chance

18271

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

988

Manifold have a central bank and I am chairman by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.16%chance

5203

OptionVotes

YES

NO

237

42

Manifold have a central bank and banking apparatus by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21.03%chance

7137

OptionVotes

YES

NO

194

52

Before 2030, will there be an AI-caused administrative disempowerment?

Aug 8, 5:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.42%chance

565

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4007

3989

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2035?

Jun 9, 5:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.58%chance

457

OptionVotes

YES

NO

147

68

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2050?

Jun 9, 5:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50.82%chance

440

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

98

Will the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2075?

Jun 10, 1:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

What do you think will have the biggest impact on Bitcoin becoming a reserve asset for the U.S. Treasury by 2025?

Jun 13, 7:19 AMJun 11, 11:59 PM

113

OptionProbability

S acceptance by major financial institutions

Public opinion and trust in Bitcoin

Clear legal regulations from the government

Global economic conditions

Development of blockchain technology

33

21

15

15

15

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