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Prediction markets for Financial News

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.15%chance

8314198

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6271

1868

When will Anduril Industries IPO?

May 29, 11:56 AMDec 31, 12:55 PM

216492

OptionProbability

Q2 2027

Q3 2027

2028 or later

Q1 2027

Q4 2027

Anduril will not IPO

Q4 2026

Q3 2025

Q4 2025

Q1 2026

Q2 2026

Q3 2026

24

20

20

10

10

7

5

1

1

1

1

1

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.55%chance

424883

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

509

Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration?

Mar 23, 3:54 AMJan 20, 12:00 PM

56.11%chance

42460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1131

884

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

16.18%chance

172427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2276

439

US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029

Mar 11, 3:37 PMJan 20, 12:00 AM

20.56%chance

241938

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1966

509

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

25.55%chance

111632

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1707

586

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 27, 2:12 PMNov 20, 7:59 AM

31.11%chance

101159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1488

672

America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029

Jul 18, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.96%chance

121088

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1605

623

Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?

Dec 7, 12:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

66.89%chance

8780

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1421

704

Will France cut off funding to Ukraine in 2027?

Oct 18, 4:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.89%chance

14743

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1336

748

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

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