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Prediction markets for Financial News

Level 1 circuit breaker is tripped on the NYSE before December 31, 2025

Apr 3, 11:58 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.41%chance

5710936

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2105

475

Microsoft adds Bitcoin to B/S in 2025?

Nov 22, 6:39 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

6.46%chance

199453

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3804

263

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

15.08%chance

171970

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2373

421

US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029

Mar 11, 3:37 PMJan 20, 12:00 AM

26.31%chance

211383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1674

598

Will Donald Trump face financial penalties from the Central Park Five defamation lawsuit by end of 2025?

Oct 21, 9:17 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20%chance

101319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2000

500

America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029

Jul 18, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.42%chance

91002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1808

553

BOA launches USD stablecoin in 2025?

Mar 7, 6:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.15%chance

9731

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1080

926

Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?

Dec 7, 12:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.16%chance

5430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1430

699

Will a major financial news outlet write an editorial saying that deglobalization concerns were overblown by 2026?

Feb 1, 12:05 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM

40.51%chance

5369

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

103

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

55.16%chance

7277

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1109

902

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

42.64%chance

5248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

862

OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?

Dec 26, 1:16 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

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