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Prediction markets for Financial News

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

87%chance

31987996

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14424

4861

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

8.01%chance

7842197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33880

2952

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.12%chance

669683

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4164

2260

Will the AI bubble pop before 2028?

Feb 12, 8:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.89%chance

332645

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

815

Will George Soros live to see the 2029 US presidential inauguration?

Mar 23, 3:54 AMJan 20, 12:00 PM

56.11%chance

42460

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1131

884

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.62%chance

71465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2417

414

Long Thanh airport becomes a national embarrassment for Vietnam?

Apr 25, 6:51 AMMay 2, 6:48 AM

38.59%chance

81189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1261

793

America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029

Jul 18, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.71%chance

101022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1745

573

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

39.77%chance

9612

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1231

813

Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?

Dec 7, 12:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.16%chance

5430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1430

699

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?

Dec 26, 1:16 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

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