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Prediction markets for Financial News

Will Apple announce a foldable iPhone by the end of 2026?

Jan 1, 6:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

73.54%chance

28964435

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7848

6367

Will consumer AI platforms (ChatGPT, Claude, Perplexity, etc) face an ‘economic blackout’ protest against the US govt?

Jan 25, 8:48 PMJul 30, 10:59 PM

8.51%chance

7431502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

32786

3050

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

455355

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3439

2470

Elon Musk financially backs campaign to remove Trump from office?

Jun 6, 3:13 PMDec 31, 4:06 PM

18.12%chance

172277

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2126

470

US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029

Mar 11, 3:37 PMJan 20, 12:00 AM

20.65%chance

231933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1961

510

10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027?

Oct 17, 4:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.62%chance

71465

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2417

414

America Nationalizes Major AI org before 2029

Jul 18, 1:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.42%chance

91002

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1808

553

Will Demis Hassabis's net worth exceed $3 billion USD by December 31, 2027?

Dec 7, 12:24 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

67.16%chance

5430

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1430

699

Will large amounts of GTA VI-related time-off requests be reported within two weeks of release?

May 18, 3:55 AMMay 27, 3:51 AM

53.61%chance

7311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1075

930

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

45.42%chance

5298

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

912

Will Nornickel's palladium production fall below 2.3 million ounces by May 5, 2026?

Feb 4, 9:01 AMMay 5, 9:01 AM

45.36%chance

3140

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1007

992

OpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?

Dec 26, 1:16 AMJan 2, 12:00 AM

54.75%chance

2100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1100

909

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