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Prediction markets for Fire Group

Los Angeles Fires - Coordinated Arson?

Jan 10, 8:00 AMJan 10, 7:59 AM

1%chance

66307599

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230319

20

Will the IDF kill more of Hamas's October 7th hostages than Hamas does?

Oct 20, 5:52 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

7.79%chance

9517887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3503

343

Will Ryan Wesley Routh be convicted for his apparent attempted assassination of Trump?

Sep 16, 1:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

84.46%chance

389378

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10975

3764

Will a single shooting incident kill at least 20 people in the US during 2025?

Nov 9, 12:22 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

33.14%chance

241656

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1420

704

By when will the Israel-Iran ceasefire be broken? [Polymarket]

Jun 26, 1:41 AMSep 1, 3:59 AM

201009

OptionProbability

Wednesday, December 31

Friday, October 31

Sunday, August 31

Friday, June 27

Friday, July 11

Thursday, July 31

43

24

12

0

0

0

Will there be a robot uprising by 2035?

Dec 21, 10:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9.51%chance

25837

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1458

911

Will Edge Esmeralda have greater attendance YoY every year until 2030?

Oct 19, 4:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

33.93%chance

455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

72

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

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