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Prediction markets for Fire Group

Will Ghent fire Nathan Cofnas before 2028?

Aug 20, 6:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.59%chance

3715489

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1705

586

Will Goldman Sachs fire its banking analysts that took PE jobs?

Jan 13, 1:20 PMDec 25, 1:14 PM

12.5%chance

81673

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2647

378

Will there be a robot uprising by 2035?

Dec 21, 10:57 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

9.79%chance

31889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1418

915

Will OpenAI file for bankruptcy before September 30, 2027?

Sep 13, 12:43 PMSep 30, 11:59 PM

4.95%chance

2761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

100

Will the JAWBONE Act be enacted into law in the 119th Congress?

Jun 11, 10:12 PMJan 3, 11:59 AM

49.52%chance

4223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1010

990

Will Edge Esmeralda have greater attendance YoY every year until 2030?

Oct 19, 4:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

27.96%chance

576

OptionVotes

YES

NO

161

62

What year will the discovery of element 119 be announced to the public?

Oct 26, 8:02 AMJan 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2036 or later

2026

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

9

8

Suffering and Human Meaning compared to Past (read description)

Apr 13, 6:10 PM

230

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