First Citizens News

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Mar 11, 12:09 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

71.93%chance

163414

OptionVotes

YES

1009

979

Will it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)

Feb 5, 4:52 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

91%chance

173298

OptionVotes

YES

3180

314

Who will be the first USA citizen(s) expelled from the country by Trump?

Mar 27, 11:44 PMJan 20, 11:59 PM

282157

OptionProbability

Another child deported to Honduras on 4/25 (not “V.M.L.”)

“V.M.L” (2-year-old deported to Honduras)

Other

Nobody before end of his 2nd term

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Barack Obama

Hunter Biden

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?

Apr 4, 5:59 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

57.95%chance

331566

OptionVotes

YES

1057

876

Will my personal financial situation be better at the end of Milei's first term?

Dec 30, 1:59 PMDec 11, 2:59 AM

68.53%chance

14546

OptionVotes

YES

1069

961

Will a Canadian set foot on the moon by 2035?

Jul 1, 12:07 PMJan 1, 5:01 AM

42.02%chance

16520

OptionVotes

YES

1113

902

Will the first person on Mars be a citizen of the United States?

May 28, 7:39 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

68.04%chance

15453

OptionVotes

YES

1023

923

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Jul 3, 6:08 AMJan 22, 4:59 AM

43.33%chance

5398

OptionVotes

YES

1144

874

Citizen of what country will step on Mars first?🔴🧑‍🚀

Oct 14, 3:10 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

8379

OptionProbability

USA

China

Other

United Arab Emirates

India

Japan

Which USA state will be the first to pass UBI of at least $2000/yr for all citizens?

May 2, 11:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

776

OptionProbability

Other

Vermont

Alaska

Utah

California

New York

Maine

New Jersey

Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman?

Aug 22, 3:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

658

OptionProbability

YES, and she will be the second Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon

YES, and she will be the first Chinese citizen to walk on the Moon

YES, but she will remain in lunar orbit while others land

First Citizens News

Prediction markets for First Citizens

Prediction markets for First Citizens

Prediction markets for First Citizens

2030 – 5. AI-driven job loss will be one of the most widely discussed political and social issues.

Will it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)

Who will be the first USA citizen(s) expelled from the country by Trump?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?

Will my personal financial situation be better at the end of Milei's first term?

Will a Canadian set foot on the moon by 2035?

Will the first person on Mars be a citizen of the United States?

Will another US President hold office for more than 2,922 days? (through 2100)

Citizen of what country will step on Mars first?🔴🧑‍🚀

Which USA state will be the first to pass UBI of at least $2000/yr for all citizens?

Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman?

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