First Department News
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Prediction markets for First Department
Trump orders active duty military to NYC by end of 2026?
Nov 5, 11:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
15.86%chance
113953
OptionVotes
2303
434
Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?
Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
74.89%chance
311936
OptionVotes
1629
626
California Exodus: Will California lose inhabitants between 2010 and 2030?
Nov 11, 10:03 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM
37.58%chance
281696
OptionVotes
1378
717
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?
Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
23%chance
12724
OptionVotes
1265
896
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?
Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
69.21%chance
13500
OptionVotes
1063
955
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?
Mar 4, 12:51 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.01%chance
12475
OptionVotes
1094
871
Will the DOE Hydrogen Shot Succeed in Reducing the Price of Renewable Hydrogen to $1/kg by 2030?
May 22, 1:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
30.58%chance
13469
OptionVotes
1225
879
Will the White House announce deportations over 1 million by EOY 2027
Feb 9, 10:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
39.72%chance
11469
OptionVotes
1232
812
OptionVotes
1248
802
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?
Mar 4, 12:50 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
36.53%chance
14386
OptionVotes
1036
923
OptionVotes
1051
819
OptionProbability
33
33
33