First Digital News
Prediction markets for First Digital
In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
Aug 24, 7:25 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
43.51%chance
414720
OptionProbability
1085
780
Will Canada's "Online News Act" (bill C-18) be amended or repealed by 2027?
Aug 10, 3:59 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
79.95%chance
73854
OptionVotes
1059
972
In what year will Patrick Rothfuss' book The Doors of Stone be released?
Feb 23, 10:11 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM
111138
OptionProbability
42
28
19
10
1
OptionProbability
51
33
6
4
4
1
0
0
0
Will Damien Hirst's "The Currency" be more valuable as an NFT than as a physical painting?
Oct 12, 6:59 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
33.9%chance
17766
OptionVotes
1005
951
OptionProbability
48
39
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Which country will be the first to grant personhood or some form of legal rights to an AI or other digital intelligence?
Mar 31, 5:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
24588
OptionProbability
67
22
2
2
2
2
1
1
OptionVotes
1034
996
Which of the Western countries will first implement a social credit system or a similar digital gulag institution?
Sep 1, 2:57 PMDec 31, 7:59 AM
7270
OptionProbability
9
8
7
5
5
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
OptionProbability
66
66
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
50
49
40
34
34
34
34
34
34
28
24
By what year will humanity successfully develop the first 'digital person'?
Nov 22, 10:50 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM
7155
OptionProbability
45
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
7
OptionVotes
180
76