First Family News
Prediction markets for First Family
OptionProbability
37
37
14
3
2
2
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2025?
Sep 12, 4:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
3.47%chance
527394
OptionVotes
5178
246
Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?
Jun 26, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
47.52%chance
455422
OptionVotes
987
928
Will real median income for family households in the US be higher in 2028 than in 2024?
Nov 14, 2:58 AMSep 21, 6:59 AM
64.6%chance
51548
OptionVotes
1351
740
Will the top model by OpenAI rank 3rd (or lower) behind 2 other model families at any point before 2026?
Sep 15, 1:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM
68.77%chance
71150
OptionVotes
1484
674
Will I send my autoimmune disease (Hashimoto’s) into remission through diet and lifestyle changes alone?
May 16, 12:24 AMSep 23, 12:02 AM
37.78%chance
11875
OptionVotes
1283
779
Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?
Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM
59.88%chance
19407
OptionVotes
1081
928
Will CALT's Long March 10 rocket carry crew to the moon before 2035?
Sep 17, 1:14 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM
75%chance
6114
OptionVotes
185
67
Will Australia enter into any similar agreement to the Falepili Union with another Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:06 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
68.93%chance
594
OptionVotes
182
129
OptionVotes
130
42
Will any other country enter into a similar agreement to the Falepili Union with a Pacific Island country before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
74.61%chance
250
OptionVotes
140
61
Which of these Pacific Island countries will sign 'climate refuge pacts' with Australia before 2030?
Nov 10, 11:30 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM
445
OptionProbability
59
59
59
59
51
50
50
50
50
41