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Prediction markets for First Investors

Will Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac be privatized before February 2029?

Jan 8, 2:44 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

55.14%chance

2236311

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10897

9212

How many "cents on the dollar" will FTX international clients get back?

Jul 4, 4:50 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

99%chance

4021178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

7732

554

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

May 9, 8:42 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

36.1%chance

2218272

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1041

910

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.79%chance

4612947

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1486

674

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

7210411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4186

2254

SpaceX Market Cap after Lock Up Period?

May 22, 4:22 AMJan 1, 5:16 AM

43050

OptionProbability

2.0T - 2.499T

1.75T - 1.999T

2.5T - 2.999T

1.5T - 1.749T

1.25T - 1.499T

3T - 3.999T

Other

1.0T - 1.249T

0.75T - 0.999T

Below 0.5T

0.5T - 0.749T

26

20

19

16

4

4

4

3

2

1

1

Do you think Bayern would win the second leg against Real Madrid

Apr 7, 11:20 PMDec 30, 11:19 PM

99%chance

92593

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

By 2030 will the most-used cryptocurrency have none of the highly criticised flaws of those popular in 2024?

Feb 3, 6:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.46%chance

291629

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

926

California HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?

Jun 18, 6:19 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54%chance

111074

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1110

946

Will OpenAI AND xAI have an IPO in 2026?

Jan 3, 9:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

23.11%chance

22752

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

19

Will QS Announce a Large Form Factor Cell in 2026

Dec 21, 6:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

91.41%chance

12580

OptionVotes

NO

YES

326

31

Will the NTSD ETF be shut down?

Apr 20, 7:27 PMMar 21, 3:00 AM

28.42%chance

3230

OptionVotes

YES

NO

830

473

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