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Prediction markets for First Republic

Will Emmanuel Macron cease being President of France before 2027?

Mar 25, 11:43 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

3.74%chance

9431761

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4066

649

will portugal win the fifa world cup 2026

Jul 5, 3:48 AMJun 19, 11:59 PM

6%chance

287245

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2590

73

The first female US president will be Republican

Nov 5, 12:50 AMNov 1, 10:59 PM

45.99%chance

553802

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

755

🇺🇸 Will the first woman to become President of the United States be a Republican or a Democrat?

Mar 25, 4:38 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

392308

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

neither

53

46

1

Will the United Kingdom attempt to rejoin the EU and Greece demand the Elgin Marbles back to let them? [2033]

Jul 7, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

23.15%chance

241220

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1285

830

Will the first woman president of the United States be a Republican?

Nov 17, 6:48 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

40%chance

19559

OptionVotes

YES

NO

122

82

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

784

Who will be the next president of Czech Republic after first term of Petr Pavel?

Nov 18, 11:13 AMJan 31, 10:59 PM

4322

OptionProbability

Petr Pavel

Other

Andrej Babiš

52

27

21

Who will be in the first 2028 Republican Party presidential debate?

Nov 10, 10:29 AMNov 4, 2:59 PM

4275

OptionProbability

JD Vance

Mike Pence

Mitt Romney

Donald Trump

Elon Musk

75

8

8

5

5

Will the next non Republican president remove Trump's name from the Kennedy Center in their first year?

Dec 19, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.62%chance

12179

OptionVotes

NO

YES

226

44

Will Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te visit Kinmen or Matsu between January 2026 and April 2028?

Jan 5, 6:42 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

50%chance

2122

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

When will be the first time a Republican presidential candidate wins D.C.?

Jan 8, 4:57 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

398

OptionProbability

2060's

2080's

Not in the 21st century

2040's

2050's

2070's

2090's

before 2040

15

15

15

13

11

11

11

10

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