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Prediction markets for First Round

Will Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?

Feb 22, 9:47 AMOct 21, 2:59 AM

618247

OptionProbability

Yes, and he will be re-elected.

Yes, but he will not be re-elected.

No, he will not finish his first term.

69

28

4

Who will be in sole first place after any round of the 2026 Chess Candidates Tournament?

Mar 18, 3:20 AMApr 6, 11:59 PM

81094

OptionProbability

Fabiano Caruana

Hikaru Nakamura

Javokhir Sindarov

Rameshbabu Praggnanandhaa

Wei Yi

Anish Giri

Matthias Blübaum

Andrey Esipenko

41

35

29

26

25

21

13

13

Which teams will draft a quarterback in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Jan 5, 2:08 PMApr 26, 11:59 PM

9638

OptionProbability

Las Vegas Raiders

Pittsburgh Steelers

New York Jets

Cleveland Browns

Arizona Cardinals

New Orleans Saints

94

36

21

15

6

3

Which teams will draft a quarterback in the first three rounds of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Jan 5, 2:11 PMApr 25, 11:59 PM

13351

OptionProbability

Las Vegas Raiders

New York Jets

Pittsburgh Steelers

Los Angeles Rams

Cleveland Browns

Arizona Cardinals

Miami Dolphins

New Orleans Saints

Dallas Cowboys

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

San Francisco 49ers

Detroit Lions

96

87

82

59

59

54

40

24

24

24

24

24

How many quarterbacks will be drafted in the first round of the 2026 NFL Draft?

Jan 5, 2:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10291

OptionProbability

2

1

3

Other

68

20

9

2

Candidate receives 50.00%+ in first round of Maine dem senate primary?

Dec 21, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2192

OptionProbability

Graham Platner receives 50.00%+ in first round

Janet Mills receives 50.00%+ in first round

No candidate receives 50.00%+ in first round

Any other candidate receives 50.00%+ in first round

57

28

13

3

Graham Platner wins 50.00%+ in first round of Maine Democratic Senate Primary?

Jan 8, 9:18 PMJun 9, 11:59 PM

79.54%chance

5180

OptionVotes

NO

YES

194

21

Brazil 2026 Election: Will the presidential election be decided in first round?

Dec 2, 12:15 AMOct 4, 11:59 PM

11.95%chance

4176

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Clippers/Kawhi/Ballmer punishment after NBA Investigation

Sep 5, 5:39 PMSep 5, 5:21 PM

2166

OptionProbability

None (full exoneration)

Medium (~1 first round pick, ~1M)

Small (no first round picks)

Large (multiple 1sts, up to 10M)

Minor (a small fine, no picks)

Massive (ban/void, similar to Joe Smith)

30

21

17

13

11

7

How many NBA teams will forfeit a first-round draft pick in '25-2026 because they circumvented the salary cap?

Sep 3, 9:05 PMSep 3, 11:59 PM

4150

OptionProbability

0

1

2

3+

70

22

6

2

Which position group will produce the most first-round selections in the 2026 NFL Draft?

Mar 3, 10:30 AMApr 24, 11:59 PM

451

OptionProbability

Defensive Back (Safety/Cornerback)

Offensive Line (Tackle/Guard)

Wide Receiver

Edge Rusher / Defensive End

Linebacker

41

22

15

11

11

Which group will have more first-round selections in the 2026 NFL Draft?

Mar 3, 9:57 AMApr 23, 11:59 PM

446

OptionProbability

Defense

Offense

Tie

50

35

15

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