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Prediction markets for FIS

Will Bobby Fischer be discovered to still be alive before 2030?

Apr 10, 6:05 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

2.2%chance

291823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1193

957

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

53.06%chance

231747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10631

9406

Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?

Dec 15, 9:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.74%chance

221693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1726

368

Are fish conscious?

Feb 9, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.12%chance

261205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1292

862

Will bees still be a type of fish at the beginning of 2030?

Dec 21, 3:15 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

70.23%chance

341006

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1236

914

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Will the Dow Jones Industrial Average cross 50,000 by March 31, 2026, the end of the fiscal quarter.

Jan 7, 2:02 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

73.95%chance

6697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1685

593

Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?

Aug 6, 12:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

69.2%chance

10685

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1499

667

How Many Votes Will James Fishback Recieve for Florida Governor in 2026?

Jan 14, 3:07 AMAug 31, 10:59 PM

2560

OptionProbability

0 - 9,999

10,000 - 49,999

50,000 - 99,999

100,000 - 249,999

250,000 - 499,999

500,000+

73

7

5

5

5

5

Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?

Mar 20, 9:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.2%chance

15304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

951

Will an Emergency Fiscal / Budgetary Crisis occur in New York (NYC) under Mayor Zohran Mamdani 💰🤑🏛️💥📈 🗽🏙️

Jan 14, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.82%chance

6202

OptionVotes

NO

YES

156

64

¿Bajará el déficit fiscal argentino 15% del PIB (2023)durante el gobierno de Javier Milei?

Nov 29, 9:07 PMDec 10, 6:59 AM

96.15%chance

1200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

288

48

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