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Prediction markets for FIS

Will Germany have a nuclear fission power plant again before fusion?

May 27, 7:34 PMMay 28, 7:19 PM

54.45%chance

282492

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10933

9146

Will QS invoice a customer an amount exceeding $50 million in a single quarter during the Fiscal Year 2026.

Dec 21, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

132269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

10

Will Microsoft have at least one data center (partially) powered by a self-operated fission reactor before 2030?

Dec 15, 9:57 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

27.48%chance

231701

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1734

365

Before 2034, will OpenAI, Anthropic or Mistral have a profitable fiscal year?

Aug 6, 12:09 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

85%chance

171683

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2380

420

Are fish conscious?

Feb 9, 3:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.12%chance

261205

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1292

862

Will bees still be a type of fish at the beginning of 2030?

Dec 21, 3:15 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

73.74%chance

351156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1381

857

Is James fishback a stunt?

Mar 29, 9:11 PMDec 30, 8:10 PM

1%chance

61056

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

65

Will there be a fistfight or other similar physical altercation in US Congress (house or senate) before 2030?

Sep 26, 5:37 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41.03%chance

17805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1199

834

Did Robert Fisher survive past April 2001?

Mar 9, 3:42 AMJul 10, 4:38 AM

26.54%chance

3506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

827

101

Robert fisher found in 2026?

Mar 8, 11:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.28%chance

10388

OptionVotes

YES

NO

295

34

Will a serious incident caused by AI happen that causes a severe public backlash (akin to Nuclear Fission) by 2040?

Mar 20, 9:24 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

66.2%chance

15304

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1076

951

How many copies (in millions) will the Nintendo Switch sell by the end of fiscal year 2027?

May 26, 10:59 PMMay 19, 6:59 AM

40.43%chance

6212

OptionProbability

NO

YES

348

139

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