Flight Support News

Will humans return to the Moon in 2026?

Dec 30, 2:30 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

87.96%chance

7819682

OptionVotes

YES

2704

370

Elon Musk (props)

Mar 7, 12:23 PMMar 7, 12:23 PM

309142

OptionProbability

Optimus Gen 3 revealed by June 30, 2026

Grok Imagine #1 on Artificial Analysis video leaderboard end of March

Elon Musk publicly calls for pausing advanced AI development or joins a major AI safety treaty by December 31, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by May 1, 2026

Neuralink implants surpass 1,000 humans by December 31, 2026

xAI releases Grok 4.5 or Grok 5 by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits China by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits India by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits Norway by March 13, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by March 13, 2026

Grok 4.2 reaches No.1 on LMArena Text leaderboard by March 13, 2026

Optimus Gen 3 available for public purchase before March 13, 2026

Cybercab available for public purchase before March 13 2026

Which Rocket Launches Next?

Feb 15, 3:54 AMApr 1, 3:59 AM

154417

OptionProbability

SLS (Artemis II)

Starship (Flight 12)

New Glenn (Blue Bird Block 2)

Vulcan (GPS III SV10)

Will SLS launch in 2027?

Feb 28, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.87%chance

151758

OptionVotes

YES

102

How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?

Mar 19, 2:02 PMMar 19, 11:59 PM

8910

OptionProbability

Fewer than 1300

Fewer than 1100

Fewer than 900

Fewer than 700

Fewer than 500

Will Orion have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?

May 2, 8:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

97.58%chance

12753

OptionVotes

YES

635

Will the gold price drop below $4k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.32%chance

7642

OptionVotes

YES

103

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.14%chance

12534

OptionVotes

YES

315

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.94%chance

11299

OptionVotes

YES

285

Will John Green live to see AFC Wimbledon make it to the Premier League?

Apr 8, 8:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.35%chance

566

OptionVotes

YES

182

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

Jan 23, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.87%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

150

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Prediction markets for Flight Support

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Will humans return to the Moon in 2026?

Elon Musk (props)

Which Rocket Launches Next?

Will SLS launch in 2027?

How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?

Will Orion have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?

Will the gold price drop below $4k/ounce in 2026?

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Will John Green live to see AFC Wimbledon make it to the Premier League?

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

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