Flight Support News

Elon Musk (props)

Mar 7, 12:23 PMMar 7, 12:23 PM

3512359

OptionProbability

Elon Musk publicly calls for pausing advanced AI development or joins a major AI safety treaty by December 31, 2026

Optimus Gen 3 revealed by June 30, 2026

Neuralink implants surpass 1,000 humans by December 31, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by May 1, 2026

Grok Imagine #1 on Artificial Analysis video leaderboard end of March

xAI releases Grok 4.5 or Grok 5 by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits China by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits India by March 14, 2026

Elon Musk visits Norway by March 13, 2026

Starship V3 reaches orbit by March 13, 2026

Grok 4.2 reaches No.1 on LMArena Text leaderboard by March 13, 2026

Optimus Gen 3 available for public purchase before March 13, 2026

Cybercab available for public purchase before March 13 2026

Will SLS launch in 2027?

Feb 28, 12:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

161821

OptionVotes

YES

149

How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?

Mar 19, 2:02 PMMar 19, 11:59 PM

9937

OptionProbability

Fewer than 1300

Fewer than 1100

Fewer than 900

Fewer than 700

Fewer than 500

Will Orion have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?

May 2, 8:06 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

97.58%chance

12753

OptionVotes

YES

635

Will the gold price drop below $4k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 5:47 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33%chance

9712

OptionVotes

YES

142

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.67%chance

12535

OptionVotes

YES

306

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Feb 9, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.07%chance

11301

OptionVotes

YES

270

Will New Glenn fly again within 6 months? (2026-10-21)

Apr 21, 4:07 PMOct 21, 4:06 PM

80.78%chance

4105

OptionVotes

YES

205

Will John Green live to see AFC Wimbledon make it to the Premier League?

Apr 8, 8:44 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

29.35%chance

566

OptionVotes

YES

182

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

Jan 23, 2:02 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.87%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

150

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Elon Musk (props)

Will SLS launch in 2027?

How many flights to orbit will Falcon 9 have made by the time it retires?

Will Orion have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?

Will the gold price drop below $4k/ounce in 2026?

Will the gold price drop below $3k/ounce in 2026?

Will the gold price drop below $3.5k/ounce in 2026?

Will New Glenn fly again within 6 months? (2026-10-21)

Will John Green live to see AFC Wimbledon make it to the Premier League?

Will Astra's Rocket 4 Launch in 2026?

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