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Prediction markets for Flip

Anthropic flips Apple before 2030?

Dec 20, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21%chance

153117660

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1942

516

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?

Sep 5, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.95%chance

7623524

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13652

7335

Will Elon flip parties again before 2033?

Apr 18, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.82%chance

273669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2011

497

Will ethereum flip bitcoin in market cap by 2028

May 19, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.89%chance

142269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2937

610

Will Rudy Giuliani flip on Trump in the Georgia case?

Oct 20, 4:39 AMAug 14, 4:01 PM

15.01%chance

281981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2283

497

How many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Jan 24, 9:14 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM

15%chance

51407

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

OpenAI flips the script and buys or takes over Microsoft by mid 2031

Feb 17, 1:43 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

5.81%chance

18887

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1562

935

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?

Dec 4, 5:18 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

32.33%chance

26804

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

How many House seats will the Democrats flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Jan 24, 9:13 PMNov 3, 4:59 AM

29.95%chance

3791

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1096

723

How many House seats will flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]

Jan 24, 9:10 PMNov 2, 11:59 PM

41.41%chance

2560

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1086

864

Will Elon "pull a Mira" and flip the script, try to go to -1T after he reaches personal wealth of +1T?

Dec 24, 8:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

5.33%chance

8455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

383

107

How well can a superintelligence predict a coin flip?

Dec 10, 11:57 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6337

OptionProbability

Single person

Different people

21

4

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