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Prediction markets for Flip

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2028?

Sep 5, 1:30 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.83%chance

5418721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13678

7311

Will Elon flip parties again before 2033?

Apr 18, 3:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.38%chance

263419

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1761

568

Will ethereum flip bitcoin in market cap by 2028

May 19, 8:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.89%chance

142269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2937

610

Will Rudy Giuliani flip on Trump in the Georgia case?

Oct 20, 4:39 AMAug 14, 4:01 PM

15.01%chance

281981

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2283

497

Zcash flips XRP before 2026 ?

Nov 9, 10:05 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

4.84%chance

4610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

443

23

OpenAI flips the script and buys or takes over Microsoft by mid 2031

Feb 17, 1:43 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

6.95%chance

17535

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1308

948

Anthropic flips OpenAI before 2027?

Dec 4, 5:18 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

35%chance

19527

OptionVotes

YES

NO

136

73

Will Elon "pull a Mira" and flip the script, try to go to -1T after he reaches personal wealth of +1T?

Dec 24, 8:11 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

5.33%chance

8455

OptionVotes

YES

NO

383

107

Which of Taiwan/ROC's 'diplomatic allies' will 'flip' to the PRC before 2028?

Jan 31, 1:17 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

7424

OptionProbability

Haiti

Tuvalu

Vatican City

Paraguay

Guatemala

Saint Lucia

Belize

Palau

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

Eswatini

Marshall Islands

Saint Kitts and Nevis

80

79

63

51

50

50

34

34

25

20

10

10

Will Rudy Giuliani flip on Trump in the Georgia case

Aug 14, 2:58 PMAug 22, 3:59 AM

20.24%chance

8227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

50

Will "The Game Board has been Flipped: Now is a goo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

Feb 4, 2:49 AMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

10.57%chance

252

OptionVotes

YES

NO

132

96

How many of the redrawn Texas districts will Democrats win, out of the attempted Democrat to GOP flips?

Oct 25, 12:46 AMNov 10, 11:59 PM

16

OptionProbability

1

2

0

3

4

5

18

18

17

17

15

15

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