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Prediction markets for Fluid

Which of these disasters will strike the world next?

Jul 6, 9:54 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

965909

OptionProbability

Pandemic

Climate

AI

Nuclear

63

21

13

3

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

82.06%chance

372697

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1928

630

Will Trump abandon the Iran war?

Mar 6, 2:21 AMApr 26, 1:20 AM

86.21%chance

311649

OptionVotes

NO

YES

250

40

Will Starship reach Earth orbit before the Blue Origin Lunar Lander?

Mar 1, 2:57 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75%chance

10970

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1732

577

Will we get synthetic kidneys before 2035?

Jun 18, 5:49 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

21.15%chance

11931

OptionVotes

YES

NO

193

52

Will we get synthetic hearts before 2035?

Jun 13, 12:19 PMMar 5, 10:59 PM

48%chance

10517

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

96

Physics Nobel 2026: Awarded Field(s) Multimarket

Jan 2, 3:18 PMSep 30, 2:16 PM

7393

OptionProbability

Quantum Mechanics (includes Quantum Computing)

Astrophysics or Cosmology

Condensed Matter Physics

Optics or Photonics

Atomic or Molecular Physics

Geophysics, Climate or Atmospheric Physics

Biophysics

Fluid dynamics

Semiconductor Physics

Superconductivity

Particle Physics

Thermodynamics

37

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

24

17

8

6

Will we get synthetic livers before 2035?

Jun 16, 10:13 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

30.46%chance

8383

OptionVotes

YES

NO

151

66

Will we get synthetic stomachs before 2035?

Jun 26, 11:48 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

38.19%chance

8329

OptionVotes

YES

NO

127

79

Will we get synthetic eyes before 2035?

Jun 21, 11:51 AMMar 5, 10:59 PM

19.72%chance

7319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

202

50

Which month will Blue Moon Mk 1 successfully land on the Moon?

Jan 19, 3:09 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

6217

OptionProbability

November 2026

Other

October 2026

August 2026

July 2026

September 2026

June 2026

May 2026

March 2026

April 2026

20

20

13

12

10

10

7

4

2

2

Will I meaningfully choke from eating pills without fluids by 2030?

Nov 10, 3:02 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

24%chance

8171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

39

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