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Prediction markets for Flying Blue

Will Starship make orbit on first attempt?

Apr 10, 8:39 PMOct 2, 1:59 AM

88.17%chance

9923953

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1684

609

Will Firefly Aerospace's Blue Ghost M2 mission successfully land on the moon?

Sep 11, 10:33 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

67.39%chance

151857

OptionVotes

NO

YES

184

85

Will Artemis IV launch by end of December 2028?

Apr 23, 8:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26%chance

18600

OptionVotes

YES

NO

169

59

Will Blue Moon be launched on Falcon Heavy ?

Jun 2, 7:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

40.44%chance

11511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

121

82

Will Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos personally travel to the Moon aboard a vehicle from one of their own companies before 2036?

Jul 28, 7:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.86%chance

13296

OptionVotes

YES

NO

249

40

Who will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?

Apr 23, 10:54 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10183

OptionProbability

SpaceX

Blue Origin

Neither by December 31, 2032

56

28

16

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