Focus News

Disney’s The Fantastic Four: First Steps Surpasses $490 Million Globally with $6.01M Weekend Domestic Gross and $200M Budget

10 months ago

Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?

Nov 1, 2:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.8%chance

372244

OptionVotes

YES

1915

747

Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?

Jun 13, 6:27 PMJan 20, 7:27 PM

43.57%chance

211189

OptionVotes

YES

1340

600

Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?

Dec 19, 4:37 AMJul 5, 6:59 AM

21.7%chance

13968

OptionVotes

YES

1712

127

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Jun 25, 1:58 PMJul 1, 2:01 PM

47%chance

14753

OptionVotes

YES

1034

956

Will Giving What We Can recommend any organisations primarily focused on artificial sentience by 2030?

Feb 20, 11:08 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

72.58%chance

17434

OptionVotes

YES

306

120

Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?

Mar 27, 5:56 PMMar 28, 4:59 AM

23.45%chance

18399

OptionVotes

YES

987

960

Best Research-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)

Apr 4, 3:49 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

7195

OptionProbability

Other

Papers with Code https://paperswithcode.com/

A well curated twitter feed / list

MIT

Google Scholar with Advanced Search, E.g. https://scholar.google.com/scholar?as_ylo=2023&q=A.I.&hl=en&as_sdt=0,24

ArXiv With Advanced Search https://arxiv.org/search/advanced?advanced=1&terms-0-operator=AND&terms-0-term=Artificial+Intelligence&terms-0-field=title&classification-computer_science=y&classification-physics_archives=all&classification-inclu

Proceedings of IEEE https://proceedingsoftheieee.ieee.org/

AI Weekly https://aiweekly.co/

Curated Google scholar alerts

Will Google spin off or sell Android before ‘27 to focus on an OS run exclusively on their own devices?

May 1, 7:54 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

12.6%chance

5185

OptionVotes

YES

263

In 2030, will there be more than 10 $5bn companies that are some form of large language model focused on a specific task. ie not Microsoft, not OpenAI,

Feb 9, 3:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62%chance

6125

OptionVotes

YES

172

131

Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win

Dec 14, 4:07 AMApr 2, 3:59 AM

80.11%chance

463

OptionVotes

YES

133

Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?

Apr 1, 1:57 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

41.81%chance

646

OptionVotes

YES

131

127

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

Jul 10, 6:28 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

OptionProbability

Mercury

Venus

Mars

An asteroid

Jupiter

Saturn

Uranus

Neptune

A dwarf planet

A comet

Other

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Will members of the EA community create an EA-focused university by 2030?

Will I focus on the AI alignment problem for the rest of my life?

Could AI research see a shift in focus soon?

Will Max get a permanent position with a research focus at a top 10 university within 5 years of finishing his PhD?

Will Giving What We Can recommend any organisations primarily focused on artificial sentience by 2030?

Will I regret working a side job in a restaurant instead of focusing on my software engineering career?

Best Research-Focused A.I. News Source (Permanent)

Will Google spin off or sell Android before ‘27 to focus on an OS run exclusively on their own devices?

In 2030, will there be more than 10 $5bn companies that are some form of large language model focused on a specific task. ie not Microsoft, not OpenAI,

Will Focus Features win Best Picture before April 1st 2031? Currently they have the most Oscar nominations without a win

Will a space mission focused on the investigation and exploration of Jupiter's moon Io be approved before 2030?

Which target will Tianwen-6 mission focus on?

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