for Business and Trade News

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

Dec 28, 11:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.06%chance

5716388

OptionVotes

YES

1784

561

What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)

Feb 15, 8:05 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

96375

OptionProbability

Above $500

Below $100

$100 - $149

$150 - $199

$200 - $249

$250 - $299

$300 - $349

$350 - $399

$400 - $449

$450 - $500

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Jun 18, 4:09 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.73%chance

101260

OptionVotes

YES

2046

535

Will any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?

Sep 9, 2:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.59%chance

71205

OptionVotes

YES

1985

843

When will the LCBO put American alcohol back on its shelves?

Dec 24, 12:26 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

5795

OptionProbability

2027 or later

Mar-Apr 2026

May-Jun 2026

Jan-Feb 2026

Jul-Aug 2026

Sep-Oct 2026

Nov-Dec 2026

Dec 2025

SpaceX pivots away from xAI

Jun 26, 6:07 PMJun 28, 3:59 AM

26.74%chance

3655

OptionVotes

YES

1655

604

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 9, 10:32 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.42%chance

15577

OptionVotes

YES

1455

887

Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?

Aug 11, 1:45 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12.24%chance

13363

OptionVotes

YES

268

Now Amazon buys CEC Entertainment on 2031

Feb 10, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.95%chance

5157

OptionVotes

YES

106

How will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]

Apr 1, 8:36 PMDec 30, 8:02 PM

3145

OptionProbability

It becomes impossible to withdraw from most popular exchange (bybit)

No internet access for significant part of the year for most of people, no wifi, cell and wire.

Real estate average price >30% drop for more than half remaining days

Economical Default

1$>164₽ more than half of remaining days

I make a coin-pusher game?

Dec 3, 9:43 PMApr 5, 10:59 PM

23.58%chance

380

OptionVotes

YES

180

How much will an RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell 96GB cost in Germany on September 9, 2027?

Sep 9, 12:02 PMSep 8, 9:59 PM

268

OptionProbability

Above 8 000 €

Above 12 000 €

Above 16 000 €

Above 20 000 €

for Business and Trade News

Prediction markets for for Business and Trade

Prediction markets for for Business and Trade

Prediction markets for for Business and Trade

1. Anthropic will go public. OpenAI will not.

What will Anthropic's initial share price be? (split-anchored Feb 27 2026)

Will the Bilt Mastercard Remain Stable Through 2030?

Will any of the remaining Millenium Problems be solved with zero to minimal AI use?

When will the LCBO put American alcohol back on its shelves?

SpaceX pivots away from xAI

Will the Wall Street Journal create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will OpenAI close its first day of public trading in 2026 with a market cap of $1 trillion+?

Now Amazon buys CEC Entertainment on 2031

How will the situation in Russia change till the end of 2026 [PROP BETS/ADD ANSWERS]

I make a coin-pusher game?

How much will an RTX PRO 6000 Blackwell 96GB cost in Germany on September 9, 2027?

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