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Prediction markets for Force

Will @ElonMusk force people to see his X posts even if blocked?

Sep 24, 3:58 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.21%chance

7047175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

33318

3293

If @Aella and I go on a "proper date", we will marry, have offspring, and control the world with intellectual force.

Feb 21, 2:17 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

22.96%chance

5334071

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1832

546

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

Oct 24, 8:42 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM

37.42%chance

485444

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1455

509

Will a new fundamental physical force be discovered by January 1, 2040?

May 18, 2:07 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

12.71%chance

243712

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2620

382

Will Russian forces capture Pokrovsk by 2026?

May 5, 6:16 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.16%chance

151596

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1739

575

Will regulators force a split in Alphabet before 2030?

Jul 19, 4:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.58%chance

281223

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1099

691

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

775

Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?

Dec 6, 9:12 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.35%chance

27529

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

989

Will the EU force Ukraine to make concessions?

Oct 5, 10:13 PMMar 2, 2:59 AM

42.26%chance

16451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1117

798

Will Russia be added to the Financial Action Task Force blacklist before 2050?

Oct 16, 11:20 AMDec 31, 7:59 PM

50.88%chance

6195

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1018

983

Will the US Civilian labor force participation rate in January 2026 be above that in January 2022?

Aug 8, 11:48 PMFeb 1, 6:59 AM

24.23%chance

11159

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

958

Facebook will ship a clearly traditional Avatar system on PC by mid 2026, no more forced ambiguous self-presentatation

Jan 10, 9:22 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

49.98%chance

380

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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