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Prediction markets for Force Intelligence Department

Will a deepfake impersonating a White House official lead to a military incident involving US troops by October 7, 2025?

Apr 10, 11:14 AMOct 7, 11:59 PM

4.35%chance

3210093

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2828

218

Will Donald Trump use military force to seize control of Greenland or the Panama Canal?

Jan 8, 12:09 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

9.87%chance

221221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

302

33

In which years will the US Congress hold UFO/UAP hearings?

Nov 15, 4:05 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

472

OptionProbability

2025

2026

2027

2028

80

59

59

45

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