Force Prime News

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Jul 10, 9:36 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

8336949

OptionProbability

2026

2024

2025

2027

2028

2029

2030

Other

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Dec 10, 2:44 AMJan 1, 12:59 PM

14.92%chance

545400

OptionVotes

YES

2388

419

Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]

Mar 22, 1:13 PMOct 27, 11:59 PM

112748

OptionProbability

Head of the Internal Security Service (Ronen Bar) leaves position ahead of time

Israel is downgraded in another major democracy index

Further judicial overhaul legislation is passed

Another downgrading of Israel's credit rating by a major agency

General attorney (Gali Baharav Miara) leaves position ahead of time

No general elections on or before the planned date (Oct 27 2026)

Netanyahu is forced to step down as Prime Minister for any reason other then health or losing elections

100

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

Feb 17, 2:53 AMJul 1, 12:00 AM

97.99%chance

101369

OptionVotes

YES

698

Will Trump attack Greenland in 2026?

Jan 7, 1:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.45%chance

341344

OptionVotes

YES

529

Who will resign first?

Jan 12, 3:07 AMDec 31, 3:03 AM

141305

OptionProbability

Keir Starmer

Kemi Badenoch

Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?

Jan 22, 12:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.3%chance

13661

OptionVotes

YES

163

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Jan 21, 6:19 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

17.73%chance

6338

OptionVotes

YES

215

Will the next UK PM be contested?

Jun 23, 2:01 PMSep 1, 10:59 PM

23.63%chance

8191

OptionVotes

YES

180

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Jan 22, 5:20 AMJan 30, 11:59 PM

28.91%chance

9101

OptionVotes

YES

157

Will Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu remain Prime Minister until the end of Macron's term?

Jun 21, 2:27 PMMay 13, 11:59 PM

86.13%chance

363

OptionVotes

YES

142

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Mar 12, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

145

Force Prime News

Prediction markets for Force Prime

Prediction markets for Force Prime

Prediction markets for Force Prime

When will Keir Starmer be replaced as Prime Minister of the UK?

Will Syria hold legitimate national leadership elections before the end of 2026?

Israel’s deterioration as a liberal democracy [add predictions]

Will Mark Carney still be Prime Minister of Canada on July 1st 2026?

Will Trump attack Greenland in 2026?

Who will resign first?

Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?

Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2026?

Will the next UK PM be contested?

Will the Spanish ex-president José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero be tried because of his involvement with Maduro’s government?

Will Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu remain Prime Minister until the end of Macron's term?

Italy: Will Parliament curb prosecutors' judicial police powers by EOY 2029? (unconditional)

Latest stories