OptionProbability
10,000,000 - 11,999,999
8,000,000 - 9,999,999
12,000,000 - 13,999,999
Below 4,000,000
4,000,000 - 5,999,999
6,000,000 - 7,999,999
14,000,000+
54
35
4
2
None
Kazakhstan
Azerbaijan
Saudi Arabia
Indonesia
Armenia
Syria
Lebanon
Qatar
78
20
18
6
5
3
Jeffrey Sachs
Huey Li (and the news)
SerpentZA
Laowhy86
Nicholas Kristof
Michael Pettis
Peter Hessler
James Fallows
Kevin D Walmsley of Inside China Business
Liziqi
Nathan Rich
Living in China
Jerry Kowal
Significant effort (10k+ posts) to manipulate comment threads on hacker news.
Asia Society Policy Institute
Yale Center Beijing
Brookings Institution (China Center)
Blondie in China
Elon Musk
Bill Bishop, Sinocism
52
50
41
40
