Foreign Service News

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Jul 19, 9:54 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5.58%chance

414601

OptionVotes

YES

2803

757

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Nov 8, 4:34 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

33.58%chance

193764

OptionVotes

YES

1407

711

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Jun 5, 9:53 PMJan 19, 11:59 PM

7.17%chance

213291

OptionVotes

YES

3597

278

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Nov 26, 6:57 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

74.89%chance

311936

OptionVotes

YES

1629

626

Will Poland use its M1 Abrams tanks in combat?

Aug 19, 11:16 AMApr 2, 9:59 PM

67.45%chance

15391

OptionVotes

YES

230

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will the H-1B visa cap increase by at least 50% or be removed before Fiscal Year 2027?

Jun 17, 10:04 PMMay 2, 6:59 AM

13.59%chance

6110

OptionVotes

YES

470

335

Foreign Service News

Prediction markets for Foreign Service

Prediction markets for Foreign Service

Prediction markets for Foreign Service

As the war continues, will Russia begin drafting women into its military?

Will a specific mid-level bureaucrat be fired under Trump?

Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?

Will the "Mad Scientists Theory of Governance" be cited by someone important?

Will Poland use its M1 Abrams tanks in combat?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will the H-1B visa cap increase by at least 50% or be removed before Fiscal Year 2027?

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