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Prediction markets for Foreign Trade
Prediction markets for Foreign Trade
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Jun 20, 10:42 AM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
12.8%
chance
43
6480
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2610
383
Will SpaceX be nationalized during Trump's second term?
Jun 5, 9:53 PM
Jan 19, 11:59 PM
7.17%
chance
21
3291
Option
Votes
YES
NO
3597
278
Trump administration issues price controls by end of 2025
Mar 29, 2:51 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
45.32%
chance
27
1285
Option
Votes
YES
NO
110
91
Will Polymarket take more steps to verify that US citizens are not trading on their website before January 1, 2026?
Nov 17, 3:21 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
36.75%
chance
6
1147
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1312
762
Will the SCOTUS overturn Allison Burrough's ruling regarding Harvard's enrollment of foreign students?
May 23, 6:12 PM
Dec 31, 7:10 PM
15.46%
chance
14
489
Option
Votes
YES
NO
234
43
Will an economic union be formed between the CANZUK nations before 2045?
Nov 22, 8:28 AM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
44.75%
chance
6
118
Option
Votes
YES
NO
72
68
ANY safe-to-visit country refuses gender-neutral passports by 2040
Mar 26, 8:05 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
30.33%
chance
2
52
Option
Votes
YES
NO
152
66
Will an economic union be formed between the CANZUK nations before 2045?
Nov 22, 8:27 AM
Jan 1, 12:59 PM
55.57%
chance
4
51
Option
Votes
NO
YES
83
57
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