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Prediction markets for Fortress

Will Portal 3, Team Fortress 3, or Half-Life 3 come out before 2033?

Jun 28, 4:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

78.64%chance

343406

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1464

825

Will Half Life 3 release before Team Fortress 3?

Mar 30, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

141083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1768

783

Will Team Fortress 3 be announced before January 1st 2030?

Nov 25, 2:47 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

31.38%chance

20946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1511

608

Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?

Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

80.02%chance

23775

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1321

878

Will there be a Team Fortress 2 sequel or spin-off game released or announced before September 2025?

Jul 3, 9:17 AMAug 31, 11:59 PM

9.04%chance

13589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

89

Will the price of Earbuds in Team Fortress 2 be $13.00 or more on Jan 1st 2026 according to Marketplace.tf?

Dec 7, 8:27 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.76%chance

13396

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1325

747

Will Gabe Newell be alive on the day Team Fortress 3 releases?

Mar 24, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.92%chance

13315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1058

948

Will there be an Overwatch crossover with Team fortress 2 of any kind by the end of 2027?

Jun 14, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.8%chance

7179

OptionVotes

YES

NO

157

64

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from outside of DF?

Mar 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

94

Dwarf fortress uses an LLM or AGI to generate better lore for the world by mid 2028

Jan 3, 6:25 PMJul 1, 6:59 AM

17%chance

8175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

223

119

Will a new official weapon be added to Team Fortress 2 before Bitcoin reaches $150K USD?

Dec 5, 4:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21.54%chance

5120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

Will @repligate, @AlkahestMu, @AndyAyrey, @xenoludicpraxis, or @KatanHya be put in a dwarf fortress plot?

Apr 8, 4:43 AMApr 16, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

111

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