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Prediction markets for Fortress

Will Portal 3, Team Fortress 3, or Half-Life 3 come out before 2033?

Jun 28, 4:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

89.93%chance

435589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2663

619

Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?

Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

86.17%chance

231275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1821

779

Will Team Fortress 3 be announced before January 1st 2030?

Nov 25, 2:47 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

42.05%chance

201261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

777

Will Half Life 3 release before Team Fortress 3?

Mar 30, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

141083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1768

783

Will a new official weapon be added to Team Fortress 2 before EOY 2029?

Jan 15, 7:05 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

20.79%chance

17591

OptionVotes

YES

NO

200

69

Will Gabe Newell be alive on the day Team Fortress 3 releases?

Mar 24, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.92%chance

13315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1058

948

Will Scream Fortress 2026 have 6 or more new maps? [Team Fortress 2] [TF2]

Oct 13, 7:09 AMOct 21, 6:59 AM

23.26%chance

9215

OptionVotes

YES

NO

332

134

Will there be an Overwatch crossover with Team fortress 2 of any kind by the end of 2027?

Jun 14, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.81%chance

7187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from outside of DF?

Mar 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

94

Will a new official weapon be added to Team Fortress 2 before Bitcoin reaches $150K USD?

Dec 5, 4:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21.54%chance

5120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

In Team Fortress 2, will the market price of the Vaccinator be less than 0.44 refined metal on January 10th 2028?

Nov 3, 8:38 PMJan 10, 8:33 PM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will @repligate, @AlkahestMu, @AndyAyrey, @xenoludicpraxis, or @KatanHya be put in a dwarf fortress plot?

Apr 8, 4:43 AMApr 16, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

111

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