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Prediction markets for Fortress

Will Portal 3, Team Fortress 3, or Half-Life 3 come out before 2033?

Jun 28, 4:37 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

89.93%chance

435589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2663

619

Will Dwarf Fortress still be receiving regular updates when James Cameron's Avatar 4 releases?

Jan 17, 5:03 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

86.17%chance

231275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1821

779

Will Team Fortress 3 be announced before January 1st 2030?

Nov 25, 2:47 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

42.05%chance

201261

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1217

777

Will Half Life 3 release before Team Fortress 3?

Mar 30, 11:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

85.43%chance

141083

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1768

783

Will Gabe Newell be alive on the day Team Fortress 3 releases?

Mar 24, 6:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

43.92%chance

13315

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1058

948

Will Scream Fortress 2026 have 6 or more new maps? [Team Fortress 2] [TF2]

Oct 13, 7:09 AMOct 21, 6:59 AM

21%chance

11269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

358

127

Will there be an Overwatch crossover with Team fortress 2 of any kind by the end of 2027?

Jun 14, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.22%chance

8197

OptionVotes

YES

NO

142

71

Will dwarves in dwarf fortress try to "break out" of their sim by accessing and using data from outside of DF?

Mar 26, 7:00 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.74%chance

7178

OptionVotes

YES

NO

315

94

Will a new official weapon be added to Team Fortress 2 before Bitcoin reaches $150K USD?

Dec 5, 4:07 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

21.54%chance

5120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

191

52

New Firefly before new Team Fortress 2 weapon?

Mar 23, 7:07 AMSep 23, 7:06 AM

480

OptionProbability

New Firefly first

New TF2 weapon first

72

28

In Team Fortress 2, will the market price of the Vaccinator be less than 0.44 refined metal on January 10th 2028?

Nov 3, 8:38 PMJan 10, 8:33 PM

60.98%chance

125

OptionVotes

NO

YES

125

80

Will @repligate, @AlkahestMu, @AndyAyrey, @xenoludicpraxis, or @KatanHya be put in a dwarf fortress plot?

Apr 8, 4:43 AMApr 16, 3:59 AM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

130

111

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