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Top stories

Solana Foundation Launches Benchmark to Gauge AI Skill at Blockchain Transactions

Solana Foundation Launches Benchmark to Gauge AI Skill at Blockchain Transactions

Authors

3

10 months ago

Ethereum Foundation Advances Phase Two of Trillion Dollar Security Plan with Wallet UX Overhaul and $1 Million Influencer Payout

Ethereum Foundation Advances Phase Two of Trillion Dollar Security Plan with Wallet UX Overhaul and $1 Million Influencer Payout

Authors

7

10 months ago

Ethereum Foundation Launches Open Intents Framework to Unify Layer 2 Networks

Ethereum Foundation Launches Open Intents Framework to Unify Layer 2 Networks

Authors

5

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Foundation

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2030?

Jul 24, 7:30 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

46.96%chance

11227617

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1661

1184

Will projects which recently received grants via FTX Foundation, Inc. (i.e., the non-profit entity associated with the Future Fund) receive a demand to give the money back (e.g., to be distributed among FTX bankruptcy creditors)?

Nov 14, 3:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.61%chance

745724

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2141

900

Will The Signal Foundation provide the content of a Signal message to US law enforcement before January 20, 2029?

Jan 8, 7:39 PMJan 21, 7:59 AM

9.89%chance

184256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3019

331

Will AIs be widely recognized as having developed a new, innovative, foundational mathematical theory before 2035?

Jul 24, 7:37 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

32.34%chance

302958

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1443

689

Will ZFC no longer be the standard foundation for mathematics by 2050?

May 5, 10:39 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

33.14%chance

501786

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1130

919

Will humanity establish the foundations for a Type 1 civilization by the end of the 21st century?

Dec 31, 8:58 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

54.61%chance

281702

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1032

938

Nvidia will compete at the foundation layer by Jan 1, 2028

Jul 11, 11:45 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

31.51%chance

81237

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1474

678

Will the market of foundation models be more fragmented than in 2024 by EOY 2026?

Jul 16, 3:12 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

77.45%chance

5855

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1853

540

Will the Musk Foundation fund a major EA project by 2031?

Dec 11, 1:38 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.1%chance

18680

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1102

845

Will Vitalik Buterin or the Ethereum Foundation be charged by the SEC with selling unregistered securities by the end of 2030?

Dec 30, 2:44 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.49%chance

15541

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1101

956

Will Apple+'s Foundation series follow through to the end of Asimov's novel series?

Sep 7, 6:36 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

30%chance

16382

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1061

964

Will "Agent Foundations Reminds Me of Continental P..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

Jun 4, 12:52 PMFeb 1, 12:00 AM

15.79%chance

120

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

885

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