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Top stories

Trump Jr.’s 1789 Capital Pours Eight-Figure Sum Into Polymarket Ahead of US Relaunch

Prediction Markets

Trump Jr.’s 1789 Capital Pours Eight-Figure Sum Into Polymarket Ahead of US Relaunch

Authors

31

1 year ago

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Sleep-Tech Firm Eight Sleep Raises $100 Million for AI Beds, Eyes China

Authors

12

1 year ago

Leaked Emails Show Epstein Courting Global Surveillance Tech Deals

Leaked Emails Show Epstein Courting Global Surveillance Tech Deals

Authors

5

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Founders Fund

Will research into digital sentience / the fundamental nature of consciousness get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 7:12 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

72.55%chance

251885

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1481

722

Will I launch a startup by the end of 2026?

Jun 18, 3:45 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

17.7%chance

251636

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1730

753

Will Nectome have a legally separate nonprofit dedicated to storing patients by the end of the year?

Mar 18, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.05%chance

121605

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1529

654

Will Dome (YC startup) succeed before 2027?

Oct 23, 9:03 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.31%chance

5550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1192

839

Will Virgin Galactic still exist in 2030?

Jul 3, 9:49 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

40%chance

3408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1120

910

Will cryonics or brain-emulation research get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 4:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

39.03%chance

15395

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

946

Will wild-animal welfare interventions get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 29, 2:14 AMJan 2, 6:59 AM

72.85%chance

12265

OptionVotes

NO

YES

354

219

Will mass-movement political activism for AI regulation (such as "PauseAI") get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 7:46 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

70.23%chance

16261

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

994

Will stable-totalitarianism prevention get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 31, 2:30 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

53.7%chance

7130

OptionVotes

YES

NO

227

221

Will Georgism (aka land value taxes) get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Oct 30, 6:11 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

29.01%chance

669

OptionVotes

YES

NO

242

153

Will Mistral AI and/or its investors sue Juan Branco for Defamation in 2026

Sep 20, 7:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32%chance

148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Will mitigation of AI propaganda & "botpocalypse" concerns get $10m+ from EA funders before 2030?

Nov 1, 9:04 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

59.64%chance

643

OptionVotes

NO

YES

223

191

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