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Prediction markets for France 2030

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Mar 17, 10:40 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

45.55%chance

593841

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1113

875

Will the energy biding zones for either Germany or France be split by 2030?

Feb 15, 7:29 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

14.7%chance

43313

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2408

415

Will Brittany gain independence from France before 2030

May 12, 4:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.83%chance

15918

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1761

908

Will Paul Seixas win a grand tour before 2030?

Jul 19, 2:16 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.28%chance

7760

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1538

650

Will the Group of Seven (G7) add a country before 2030?

May 21, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.44%chance

6300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

933

Will Rayan Cherki be a starter for France at Euro 2028 or the 2030 World Cup?

Jul 27, 9:57 AMJul 31, 11:59 PM

71.34%chance

5127

OptionVotes

NO

YES

158

63

Will France establish a new Republic before the end of 2030?

Oct 8, 10:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.82%chance

497

OptionVotes

YES

NO

195

51

Will France or Argentina win the 2030 world cup?

Jul 25, 6:26 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

25.21%chance

189

OptionVotes

YES

NO

172

58

Will France or Spain win the 2030 FIFA World cup

Jul 25, 6:19 PMJul 21, 11:59 PM

36.84%chance

238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

107

86

Will France or Argentina or England or Spain win the 2030 world cup?

Jul 25, 6:28 PMJul 31, 11:59 PM

52.2%chance

315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

Will France bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?

Jun 30, 8:46 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

40.98%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

80

62

Will migrant boats from France to the UK be consistently sent back to France for at least a month before 2030?

Jan 3, 2:17 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

49.01%chance

12

OptionVotes

YES

NO

102

98

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