Free Press News

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.17%chance

5217831

OptionVotes

YES

2116

936

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

9.52%chance

5014628

OptionVotes

YES

3125

329

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

93132

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Jun 18, 7:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

67.44%chance

231465

OptionVotes

YES

1439

695

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

41.79%chance

271368

OptionVotes

YES

1207

867

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Aug 14, 12:32 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.12%chance

11706

OptionVotes

YES

1486

818

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Dec 18, 11:47 PMDec 26, 7:59 AM

9297

OptionProbability

State Administration Council or successor military junta

National Unity Government in exile (Aung San Suu Kyi)

A majority nondemocrtic coalition of ethnic armed groups

Other

A majority democratic coalition of ethnic armed groups

China

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.64%chance

5195

OptionVotes

YES

1098

911

Will a new Risk of Rain 2 DLC be announced before 2027?

Dec 26, 8:01 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.49%chance

486

OptionVotes

YES

176

US freedom index at 80 or less in 2026?

May 22, 12:11 AMMar 31, 11:00 PM

74.49%chance

585

OptionVotes

YES

171

The Free Press will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Sep 1, 7:01 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

September 2026

March 2026

June 2026

December 2025

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

Dec 29, 7:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

211

OptionProbability

Negative

Positive

Agnostic/Neutral

Free Press News

Prediction markets for Free Press

Prediction markets for Free Press

Prediction markets for Free Press

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Will a new Risk of Rain 2 DLC be announced before 2027?

US freedom index at 80 or less in 2026?

The Free Press will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

[poll/stock - never resolves] How do Americans view Donald Trump’s political rhetoric (independent of politics)?

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