Free Press News

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.17%chance

5217831

OptionVotes

YES

2116

936

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

5716040

OptionVotes

YES

3285

313

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Jun 18, 7:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

67.44%chance

231465

OptionVotes

YES

1439

695

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

1162

901

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Aug 14, 12:32 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.12%chance

11706

OptionVotes

YES

1486

818

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Dec 18, 11:47 PMDec 26, 7:59 AM

9297

OptionProbability

State Administration Council or successor military junta

National Unity Government in exile (Aung San Suu Kyi)

A majority nondemocrtic coalition of ethnic armed groups

Other

A majority democratic coalition of ethnic armed groups

China

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Feb 9, 7:33 PMFeb 10, 5:59 AM

6211

OptionProbability

OpenAI significantly expands the scope of Ads in ChatGPT

OpenAI removes ads in ChatGPT

Anthropic adds Ads in one of their primary AI apps (currently Claude)

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.64%chance

5195

OptionVotes

YES

1098

911

When will Delta Airlines provide inflight wifi with less than 50ms of latency?

Mar 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

140

OptionProbability

2036

2029

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

2026

2027

2028

When will NOMAD Nation's "Microhotel" at Próspera be officially completed?

Jan 29, 2:09 AMMay 1, 11:59 PM

130

OptionProbability

April 1, 2027

March 1, 2027

May 1, 2026

June 1, 2026

July 1, 2026

August 1, 2026

September 1, 2026

October 1, 2026

November 1, 2026

December 1, 2026

January 1, 2027

February 1, 2027

The Free Press will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Sep 1, 7:01 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

September 2026

March 2026

June 2026

December 2025

Will HBM3e supply exit shortage status before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.65%chance

OptionVotes

YES

101

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Prediction markets for Free Press

Prediction markets for Free Press

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Which happens first? [Ads in AI][OpenAI vs Anthropic]

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

When will Delta Airlines provide inflight wifi with less than 50ms of latency?

When will NOMAD Nation's "Microhotel" at Próspera be officially completed?

The Free Press will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Will HBM3e supply exit shortage status before 2026-12-31?

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