Free Press News

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Jun 24, 10:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.32%chance

3532173

OptionVotes

YES

17781

14066

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Aug 21, 6:56 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.17%chance

5217831

OptionVotes

YES

2116

936

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Oct 21, 9:08 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

8.7%chance

5716040

OptionVotes

YES

3285

313

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Oct 17, 10:23 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

113151

OptionProbability

Ingria

Chechnya (Ichkeria)

Zaporozhye (Zaporizhzhia) Oblast

Kaliningrad (Königsberg)

Bashkortostan

Tatarstan

Udmurtia

Chuvashia

Sakha (Yakutia)

Karelia

Dagestan

Buryatia

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Oct 22, 10:43 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

83.61%chance

111532

OptionVotes

YES

2258

443

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Jun 18, 7:52 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

67.44%chance

231465

OptionVotes

YES

1439

695

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

Jun 3, 9:34 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

43.68%chance

281402

OptionVotes

YES

1162

901

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

Aug 14, 12:32 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

21.12%chance

11706

OptionVotes

YES

1486

818

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Dec 18, 11:47 PMDec 26, 7:59 AM

9297

OptionProbability

State Administration Council or successor military junta

National Unity Government in exile (Aung San Suu Kyi)

A majority nondemocrtic coalition of ethnic armed groups

Other

A majority democratic coalition of ethnic armed groups

China

Will Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030?

Aug 6, 1:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

62.76%chance

569

OptionVotes

YES

130

Will HBM3e supply exit shortage status before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.52%chance

445

OptionVotes

YES

134

The Free Press will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

Sep 1, 7:01 PMOct 1, 10:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

September 2026

March 2026

June 2026

December 2025

Free Press News

Prediction markets for Free Press

Prediction markets for Free Press

Prediction markets for Free Press

Will the Kendrick Lamar/South Park movie get a U.S. theatrical release date announced in 2026?

Will Donald Trump be executed by the end of 2029?

Will a U.S. Civil War occur before January 1st, 2027?

Which Russian regions will hold referendums and declare independence from the Russian Federation by 2040?

Bari Weiss remains CBS News editor-in-chief through 2026?

Purchased Kindle eBooks censored or blocked before 2030.

Will Iran become a democracy by the end of 2040?

By 2050, will a country have waged a war of conquest because its territory is becoming uninhabitable?

At the end of the Myanmar Civil War, who will control a plurality of the population of Myanmar?

Will Transnistria dissolve by EOY 2030?

Will HBM3e supply exit shortage status before 2026-12-31?

The Free Press will have an article mentioning Herasight by the end of:

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