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French News

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?

Apr 9, 1:32 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM

8.07%chance

6820857

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3018

580

Who will win the 2027 french presidential election

Jan 24, 7:34 PMJun 6, 9:59 PM

6815805

OptionProbability

Jordan Bardella

Edouard Philippe

Other

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Marine le Pen

Gabriel Attal

Dominique de Villepin

François Ruffin

Manuel Bompard

Gerald Darmanin

Fabien Roussel

François Bayrou

Eric Ciotti

Bruno Le Maire

Emmanuel Macron

Tony Estanguet

Jean Castex

32

18

12

10

7

5

3

2

2

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election

Nov 16, 8:05 PMMay 21, 3:59 AM

7.67%chance

4112696

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3387

504

Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?

Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

3.02%chance

324956

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3197

836

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027

Feb 8, 12:15 AMJul 1, 9:59 PM

85.9%chance

333911

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2286

197

Will the French believe Intelligence Artificielle (IA) to be an existential risk, by 2030?

Sep 2, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:28 AM

59.57%chance

271309

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

942

Reform UK, French National Rally, and AfD all in power simultaneously this decade?

Sep 18, 4:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.3%chance

41275

OptionVotes

YES

NO

255

39

Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.81%chance

17893

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1680

904

Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?

Aug 17, 4:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.66%chance

24699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

844

Sarah Knafo will be next French President

Dec 22, 6:39 AMJul 30, 10:59 PM

1.88%chance

6551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

486

84

Will the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?

Sep 10, 8:41 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM

75.61%chance

8200

OptionVotes

NO

YES

271

179

Will Françoise Bettencourt Meyers (French businesswoman) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 13, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

11.44%chance

4162

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

68

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