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French News

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election?

Apr 9, 1:32 AMMay 7, 11:59 PM

48.91%chance

9241468

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1227

585

Who will make the second round of the 2027 French Presidental Election?

Jun 2, 1:52 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

5629912

OptionProbability

Marine Le Pen

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Edouard Philippe

David Lisnard

Gabriel Attal

Dominique de Villepin

Raphaël Glucksmann

Laurent Wauquiez

Xavier Bertrand

Jordan Bardella

Bruno Retailleau

Christine de Lagarde

Fabien Roussel

Bernard Cazeneuve

François Ruffin

François Hollande

Éric Zemmour

86

49

24

13

9

7

6

5

5

4

4

3

2

2

2

2

1

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French Presidential Election

Nov 16, 8:05 PMMay 21, 3:59 AM

49%chance

7221835

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1211

705

If Marine Le Pen wins the 2027 French election will more that 5% of French muslims leave within three years?

Oct 19, 6:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.31%chance

68254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1074

992

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be candidate to the french presidential election in 2027

Feb 8, 12:15 AMJul 1, 9:59 PM

94.32%chance

416506

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3228

102

Will Emmanuel Macron change the French constitution to be able to run for a third term in a row?

Oct 19, 8:33 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

2.87%chance

355108

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3349

832

Will the French believe Intelligence Artificielle (IA) to be an existential risk, by 2030?

Sep 2, 6:37 AMJan 1, 7:28 AM

61.32%chance

271337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1038

914

Will Lebanon return to a French Mandate before 2030?

Nov 8, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.81%chance

17893

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1680

904

Will there be a french Sixth republic by 2040?

Aug 17, 4:53 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

29.66%chance

24699

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1048

844

Will French Polynesia become independent from France by the end of 2037?

Apr 10, 9:47 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

20.35%chance

9256

OptionVotes

YES

NO

230

85

Will the next French presidential elections (2027) take place without any major democratic problems because of AI?

Sep 10, 8:41 PMMay 31, 9:59 PM

76.59%chance

9210

OptionVotes

NO

YES

281

176

Is french toast toast?

Dec 15, 5:18 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

44.69%chance

427

OptionVotes

YES

NO

199

182

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