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FTSE News

    Prediction markets for FTSE

    What will happen to the UK before 2050?

    Apr 16, 3:29 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM
    282144

    OptionProbability

    electing a PM who contemporaneously describes himself as a socialist

    Coronation of King William

    Any Overseas Territory or Crown Dependency no longer under British sovereignty (de jure, even if temporarily)

    A major financial crisis (40% drawdown of FTSE 100)

    a year where population declines by 1%

    Rejoining the European Customs Union

    A year with inflation >10%

    A Prime Minister not from the Conservative or Labour parties

    The House of Lords is either abolished or democratically elected

    A game of thrones sequel (not a prequel)

    A ≤500-member House of Commons is elected (incl. Sinn Féin)

    Republic

    Winning the FIFA world cup

    Any part of the territory of the UK proper as of 2024 ceases to be under British sovereignty

    UK invades a foreign country with >10k ground troops

    rejoining the European Union

    House of Commons elections use a different voting method than "name one and shut up"

    joining the Euro

    A year with higher GDP (PPP) per capita than Canada

    Two new monarchs after Charles III

    Has an NFL franchise

    annexation by the USA

    100

    96

    96

    70

    66

    66

    62

    60

    57

    50

    50

    43

    42

    41

    34

    34

    34

    26

    25

    22

    13

    5

    Which ETF will go up the most?

    Apr 17, 7:36 AMApr 30, 1:59 PM
    14924

    OptionProbability

    MGC: Vanguard Mega Cap ETF (CRSP US Mega Cap Index)

    VWO: Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (FTSE Emerging Markets All Cap China A Inclusion Index)

    VOO: Vanguard S&P 500 ETF

    VONE: Vanguard Russell 1000 ETF

    VFMF: Vanguard U.S. Multifactor ETF

    VEA: Vanguard FTSE Developed Markets ETF (FTSE Developed All Cap ex US Index)

    VT: Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (FTSE Global All Cap Index)

    35

    17

    15

    10

    9

    9

    5

    Will the UK's FTSE 100 end 2025 above 9,000?

    Apr 14, 12:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
    52.59%chance
    12452

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    249

    160

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