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Prediction markets for Fuel

Will any fossil fuel power station be capable of supplying the UK grid by the end of 2030?

Jul 21, 10:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.39%chance

72100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

3067

326

Will more than 5% of UK electricity be supplied by fossil fuels in 2030?

Jul 21, 10:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.52%chance

211648

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1666

600

Will the majority of new passenger aircraft sold in 2050 be hydrogen fueled?

Jan 8, 11:10 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

19.95%chance

311630

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1159

928

Lightcell Energy reaches 30% efficiency from any fuel?

Jun 22, 8:13 PMDec 31, 9:12 PM

17.12%chance

31200

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2200

455

Will renewable energy completely replace fossil fuels by 2040?

Jan 12, 12:44 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

10%chance

141000

OptionVotes

YES

NO

996

971

Will aviation fuel with lead be banned in the United States before 2029?

Jun 3, 4:15 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

40.96%chance

11705

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

833

How much of the United State's energy will be produced by fossil fuels in 2040?

Sep 4, 6:44 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

30%chance

17577

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1069

710

Will renewable energy sources surpass fossil fuels as the primary source of energy worldwide by the end of 2050?

Apr 22, 8:47 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

86.18%chance

16531

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1205

937

Energy Fuels sells ≥500,000 pounds of V₂O₅ in 2026?

Nov 26, 5:44 AMFeb 28, 11:59 PM

57.01%chance

5392

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1152

868

What will be the established name for AI-fueled psychosis/acute mental illness/delusional behavior?

May 7, 8:59 PMJan 1, 9:15 PM

10245

OptionProbability

No established term by EOY 2026

AI-induced psychosis

Other

AI parasitism

Cyberpsychosis

ChatGPT-induced psychosis

Sycophancy Syndrome

Simulacra Syndrome

Promptosis

To Be "Glazed"

48

28

6

5

3

2

2

2

2

2

Lightcell's system demonstrates higher power-to-weight ratio than PEM fuel cell system by 2028?

Jun 22, 8:18 PMDec 31, 9:17 PM

47.56%chance

150

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

952

Will NASCAR have an electric or alternative fuel series running before 2032 racing season?

Jan 2, 9:05 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

332

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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