OptionProbability
September 1, 2026 – Dec 31, 2026
Jan 1, 2027 +
May 1, 2026 – August 31, 2026
On or Before April 30, 2026
44
36
17
2
Weakened Democracy (Failed Authoritarianism)
Full Democratic Restoration
Hybrid Authoritarianism (Turkey)
Full Authoritarianism (Russia/NK)
Fractured Nation (states split into blocs)
51
25
15
6
3
