Fund Accounts News
Prediction markets for Fund Accounts
Will GiveWell fund Intermittent preventive treatment in infants (IPTi) for malaria by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
37.79%chance
1964882
OptionVotes
6128
4633
Will China overtake the United States as the world's largest economy before the end of 2050?
Apr 21, 8:10 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
57.82%chance
9543935
OptionVotes
1071
920
Will Mamdani stop implementing policies that require all children in New York to learn Arabic numerals at an early age?
Nov 28, 9:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
3019974
OptionProbability
94
3
2
1
Will GiveWell fund Mass distribution of azithromycin to reduce child mortality by 1st January 2027?
Dec 17, 4:17 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
26.08%chance
188507
OptionVotes
6378
3288
Will the US Federal Government spend more than 1/1000th of its budget on AI Safety by 2028?
Aug 12, 9:36 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM
12.42%chance
353823
OptionVotes
1169
949
Will GiveWell fund Chlorhexidine for umbilical cord care by 1st January 2027?
Dec 18, 12:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.96%chance
123209
OptionVotes
6132
3376
OptionProbability
21
12
11
11
11
10
10
10
10
8
8
8
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
OptionVotes
382
26
By 2034, what is the probability that a dollar donated to Daffy will be used for unintended purposes?
Mar 9, 12:59 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM
10.31%chance
5490
OptionVotes
588
78
Will Open AI hit 750+ Billion Dollar Evaluation Before March 31st, 2026?
Jan 14, 5:43 PMMar 30, 11:59 PM
81.49%chance
10367
OptionVotes
226
54
Will an Emergency Fiscal / Budgetary Crisis occur in New York (NYC) under Mayor Zohran Mamdani 💰🤑🏛️💥📈 🗽🏙️
Jan 14, 3:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
70.82%chance
6202
OptionVotes
156
64