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Top stories

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Authors

4

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Future Forward

Will a US Manhattan-like Project for AGI Be Launched In 2025?

Nov 19, 6:12 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

9.57%chance

8416491

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3073

325

Cybertruck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

34.09%chance

375095

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

919

How does The Pivot effect the the interest rate until...?

Apr 22, 11:47 PMApr 23, 9:59 PM

83884

OptionProbability

23 April, 2026 (Noon UTC)

23 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

24 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

25 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

26 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

27 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

28 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

29 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

30 April, 2024 (Noon UTC)

1 May, 2024 (Noon UTC)

2 May, 2024 (Noon UTC)

23 May, 2024 (Noon UTC)

23 October, 2024 (Noon UTC)

23 April, 2025 (Noon UTC)

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

By which date will the state-of-the-art LLM use latent space to reason?

Nov 9, 5:02 AMJan 2, 5:01 AM

142880

OptionProbability

Jan 1, 2029

Jan 1, 2028

Jan 1, 2027

64

52

40

When will UK millennials get their state pension?

Aug 3, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

321110

OptionProbability

69 to 73 years old

There will be no state pension for millenials

Over 73 years old

68 years old

63 to 67 years old

Under 63 years old

56

18

14

10

2

0

Will the Forward Party become a meaningful actor in the US political scene?

Aug 2, 4:40 PMNov 7, 10:59 PM

3.47%chance

181065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

956

Will Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?

Jul 3, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.25%chance

359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

139

72

By the start of the 2031 NFL season, what will be the most amount of unique "Championship Belts" at one time?

May 15, 1:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

00

OptionProbability

3

4

5

Other

25

25

25

25

Recommend a “must-read” book for 2024 (that you would read a critical review of)

Dec 16, 7:37 PM

00

Suggest good E/ACC books for me

Apr 1, 11:41 AM

00

Will Kaeberlein, Sinclair, Jose Luis Ricon, Zhavoronkov, Lada Nuzhna, Bryan Johnson, Guerente all DnD campaign by 2035?

Dec 3, 4:22 PM

10

How can I get this huge list of Google Photos bugs fixed? [currently a 43m long rambling video]

Nov 15, 10:47 PM

110

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