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Top stories

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Watchdog Says NEA and AFT Steered $43 Million to Democratic-Aligned Groups

Authors

4

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Future Forward

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

Aug 27, 10:44 PMDec 10, 11:59 PM

1415931

OptionProbability

Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX

Tarek Mansour, Kalshi

Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi

Shayne Coplan, Polymarket

Michael S. Selig, Chairman of the CFTC

Terry Duffy, CME

91

80

46

27

12

10

Cybertruck drives on moon or other solar planetary body

Mar 28, 3:32 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

32%chance

375156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

986

980

Will the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

32.76%chance

43511

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12331

8645

Will MISO Indiana Hub 2028 day-ahead annual average exceed US$60/MWh?

May 4, 8:35 PMMay 31, 11:00 PM

28.58%chance

42706

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12128

9013

When will UK millennials get their state pension?

Aug 3, 12:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

321134

OptionProbability

69 to 73 years old

There will be no state pension for millenials

Over 73 years old

68 years old

63 to 67 years old

Under 63 years old

57

19

13

10

2

1

Will the Forward Party become a meaningful actor in the US political scene?

Aug 2, 4:40 PMNov 7, 10:59 PM

3.55%chance

191066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

957

Fedorov to announce candidacy for elections in Ukraine before 2027?

Jul 20, 2:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

61.38%chance

8725

OptionVotes

NO

YES

126

79

By the start of the 2031 NFL season, what will be the most amount of unique "Championship Belts" at one time?

May 15, 1:33 PMJan 21, 4:59 AM

2370

OptionProbability

4

5

Other

3

39

39

21

1

Will Ed Balls stand for election as an MP before 2030?

Jul 3, 5:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

12%chance

5223

OptionVotes

YES

NO

271

37

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.99%chance

7157

OptionVotes

YES

NO

153

65

Will Iran run out of ballistic missiles before the coalition runs out of interceptors?

Mar 16, 9:29 PMMar 16, 9:28 PM

65.93%chance

12152

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

How far will the Florida Panthers go in the 2026-27 NHL playoffs?

Jun 25, 1:27 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

452

OptionProbability

Eliminated in the first round

Eliminated in the second round

Eliminated in the Eastern Conference Fin

Reach the Stanley Cup Final but lose

Win the Stanley Cup

Miss the playoffs entirely

19

19

19

17

14

12

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