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Prediction markets for Future Tech
OptionVotes
1455
906
OptionProbability
40
21
18
11
11
Manifold markets next valuation > $20m if announced by EOY 2026?
Jan 6, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
40.84%chance
102057
OptionVotes
1204
832
Which Chinese tech companies announce a formal AI partnership with a Russian entity before 2027?
Oct 29, 2:22 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
41525
OptionProbability
41
41
26
19
19
19
18
18
18
18
18
18
17
17
Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?
Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM
63.2%chance
13363
OptionVotes
989
989
Prediction markets advocated as system architecture in 2026?
Jan 18, 2:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
12.89%chance
5160
OptionVotes
260
38
Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.09%chance
14135
OptionVotes
1178
1053
Will a Big Tech CEO run for president of the US by 2032
Aug 28, 7:51 PMNov 2, 10:59 PM
43.64%chance
983
OptionVotes
715
706
In a future where it is technologically feasible, given a choice, would you choose to wirehead yourself?
Aug 14, 7:27 AMApr 7, 6:29 PM
620