Future Tech News
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Prediction markets for Future Tech
OptionProbability
27
18
17
8
8
5
4
4
3
2
2
2
OptionVotes
1455
906
OptionProbability
40
21
18
11
11
Manifold markets next valuation > $20m if announced by EOY 2026?
Jan 6, 9:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
55.01%chance
112332
OptionVotes
1107
905
Will Google, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft get into pharma in the next 5 years?
Jun 13, 7:39 AMJun 13, 8:59 PM
63.2%chance
13363
OptionVotes
989
989
In 2030 will VTOL aircraft be the obvious future of most personnel transportation
May 18, 3:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
19.18%chance
6165
OptionVotes
169
55
Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?
May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
32.09%chance
14135
OptionVotes
1178
1053
Will a Big Tech CEO run for president of the US by 2032
Aug 28, 7:51 PMNov 2, 10:59 PM
43.64%chance
983
OptionVotes
715
706
In a future where it is technologically feasible, given a choice, would you choose to wirehead yourself?
Aug 14, 7:27 AMApr 7, 6:29 PM
620


