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Prediction markets for G7

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.08%chance

5312290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

19219

7438

Will a G7 country announce new quantum legislation within the next 2 months?

Jan 30, 6:26 AMApr 2, 6:18 AM

45%chance

294090

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1106

905

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

100

60

4

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

15732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

Will universal basic income be implemented nationwide in a G7 country by the end of 2028?

Oct 29, 5:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

14.35%chance

14588

OptionVotes

YES

NO

356

108

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

Nov 10, 3:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.95%chance

10470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

405

58

Will the Group of Seven (G7) add a country before 2030?

May 21, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.44%chance

6300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

933

At least 1 G7 Country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for at least 6 months by 2035

Jun 11, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16%chance

11241

OptionVotes

YES

NO

234

233

[Longbets] >100 person protest in the G7 against switching off a program on the grounds that it is sentient by 2035?

Nov 22, 4:27 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.45%chance

5131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

639

572

G7 country manages three years of 6% growth before general-purpose robots

May 19, 12:18 PMJan 19, 1:18 PM

25%chance

5128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will G7 countries eliminate plastic pollution by 2040?

Apr 21, 4:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.17%chance

5111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

64

Will a G7 data authority fine a major AI agent provider over $100M for autonomous agent privacy violations

Feb 3, 12:10 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.09%chance

160

OptionVotes

YES

NO

160

63

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