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Prediction markets for G7

Will messaging apps with end-to-end encryption (like Signal) be banned in a majority of G7 nations by the end of 2030?

Jun 23, 7:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

12.99%chance

5513610

OptionVotes

YES

NO

20519

7234

Will the UK face the "longest recession in G7"?

Jan 6, 10:49 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

84.28%chance

151829

OptionVotes

NO

YES

380

46

Wealth tax: Will a G7 country enact a 1% billionaire minimum tax before 2033?

Jun 12, 5:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

28.22%chance

111187

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1595

627

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

100

60

4

Will generative artificial intelligence be banned in at least one G7 country by the end of 2026?

Jul 29, 2:49 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.94%chance

15732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

42

Will universal basic income be implemented nationwide in a G7 country by the end of 2028?

Oct 29, 5:55 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

13.33%chance

15608

OptionVotes

YES

NO

376

105

Will any G7 country pass a mandatory AI-generated content labeling law before Dec 31, 2026?

Mar 29, 2:55 PMJan 15, 12:00 AM

25.62%chance

9303

OptionVotes

YES

NO

140

82

Will the Group of Seven (G7) add a country before 2030?

May 21, 7:16 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

53.44%chance

6300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1071

933

At least 1 G7 Country will have been under a fascist authoritarian regime for at least 6 months by 2035

Jun 11, 10:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17%chance

11244

OptionVotes

NO

YES

236

220

[Longbets] >100 person protest in the G7 against switching off a program on the grounds that it is sentient by 2035?

Nov 22, 4:27 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

63.45%chance

5131

OptionVotes

NO

YES

639

572

G7 country manages three years of 6% growth before general-purpose robots

May 19, 12:18 PMJan 19, 1:18 PM

25%chance

5128

OptionVotes

YES

NO

173

58

Will G7 countries eliminate plastic pollution by 2040?

Apr 21, 4:29 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

53.17%chance

5111

OptionVotes

NO

YES

108

64

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