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Prediction markets for GAA

Will the Great American AI Act (GAAIA) become law in 2026?

Jul 8, 8:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.06%chance

83148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3628

276

What will be Anthropic’s GAAP net income on their audited 2026 Income Statement?

Jun 5, 2:03 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

71197

OptionProbability

> $0

> -$1 billion

> -$25 billion

> -$5 billion

> -$10 billion

> -$15 billion

> -$20 billion

> -$30 billion

29

29

29

28

28

28

28

27

Anthropic 2027 GAAP revenue

Jul 5, 1:33 AMJul 5, 4:59 AM

9809

OptionProbability

250B - 300B

200B - 249.9B

Above 300B

150B - 199.9B

100B - 149.9B

50B - 99.9B

Below 50B

29

21

18

11

8

7

6

In which years will Anthropic have positive GAAP Net Income?

Jun 14, 5:52 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5650

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

76

67

66

24

10

6

Will Anthropic’s GAAP Net Income be Higher in fiscal year 2026 than fiscal year 2025?

Jun 14, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.38%chance

7232

OptionVotes

YES

NO

211

47

Will Jesper Wallstedt win the vezina by end of 2030?

Nov 30, 3:00 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.33%chance

2135

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

Wanneer gaat Timon zich bekeren?

Mar 6, 11:48 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

299

OptionProbability

2028

2029

2027

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035

Nooit

22

15

10

8

8

8

8

8

8

6

Will GAAP and IFRS converge by the end of 2030?

Feb 21, 5:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.96%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

71

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