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Will QS invoice a customer an amount exceeding $50 million in a single quarter during the Fiscal Year 2026.

Dec 21, 6:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1%chance

132269

OptionVotes

YES

996

Will Nvidia report gross margins lower than 60% in any year by 2028?

Mar 8, 8:46 AMMar 31, 10:59 PM

10.55%chance

131504

OptionVotes

YES

723

What will be Anthropic’s GAAP net income on their audited 2026 Income Statement?

Jun 5, 2:03 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

71197

OptionProbability

> $0

> -$1 billion

> -$25 billion

> -$5 billion

> -$10 billion

> -$15 billion

> -$20 billion

> -$30 billion

Anthropic 2026 Revenue > $50B?

Jun 17, 4:44 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.96%chance

15821

OptionVotes

YES

258

Anthropic 2027 GAAP revenue

Jul 5, 1:33 AMJul 5, 4:59 AM

9809

OptionProbability

250B - 300B

200B - 249.9B

Above 300B

150B - 199.9B

100B - 149.9B

50B - 99.9B

Below 50B

Anthropic 2028 revenue

Aug 22, 11:19 PMFeb 21, 11:59 PM

8667

OptionProbability

$350B - $500B

$200B - $350B

$500B - $700B

$100B - $200B

$700B - $1T

>$1T

<$100B

In which years will Anthropic have positive GAAP Net Income?

Jun 14, 5:52 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5650

OptionProbability

2030

2029

2028

2027

2026

2025

Will Anthropic’s GAAP Net Income be Higher in fiscal year 2026 than fiscal year 2025?

Jun 14, 4:03 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.38%chance

7232

OptionVotes

YES

211

What will NVIDIA's Q3 fiscal 2027 revenue be? (reported Nov 18, 2026)

Oct 5, 2:26 AMNov 17, 8:00 PM

6167

OptionProbability

$110B to $112B

$112B to $114B

$114B to $116B

$116B or more

Under $110B

Will GAAP and IFRS converge by the end of 2030?

Feb 21, 5:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

31.96%chance

331

OptionVotes

YES

119

Elon Musk and SpaceX props (Add Options)

Oct 21, 1:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

319

OptionProbability

Will SpaceX report at least 8 GW of nameplate AI compute capacity as of December 31, 2027?

Will SpaceX report at least $35 billion in total GAAP revenue for Q1 2027?

Will SpaceX reach $400B annualized recurring revenue (ARR) by the end of 2027?

Will Grok exceed 10% of paid frontier-model API revenue by YE2027?

2027 Frontier AI Lab props

Oct 13, 2:43 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Will any single AI lab hold the #1 position on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index for at least 70 consecutive days during 2027?

Will Anthropic's Q4 2027 GAAP revenue exceed OpenAI's by >20%?

Will Anthropic or OpenAI report positive GAAP operating income in any quarter of 2027?

Will a lab other than OpenAI or Anthropic lead the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index for 30 consecutive days in 2027?

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Will QS invoice a customer an amount exceeding $50 million in a single quarter during the Fiscal Year 2026.

Will Nvidia report gross margins lower than 60% in any year by 2028?

What will be Anthropic’s GAAP net income on their audited 2026 Income Statement?

Anthropic 2026 Revenue > $50B?

Anthropic 2027 GAAP revenue

Anthropic 2028 revenue

In which years will Anthropic have positive GAAP Net Income?

Will Anthropic’s GAAP Net Income be Higher in fiscal year 2026 than fiscal year 2025?

What will NVIDIA's Q3 fiscal 2027 revenue be? (reported Nov 18, 2026)

Will GAAP and IFRS converge by the end of 2030?

Elon Musk and SpaceX props (Add Options)

2027 Frontier AI Lab props

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