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Prediction markets for Gain

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

61.53%chance

3514537

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1265

791

Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?

Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.1%chance

345484

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2127

470

Will there be any tax on unrealized capital gains in the USA before eoy2028?

Aug 20, 7:23 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM

11.75%chance

334649

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2741

365

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

14.09%chance

172631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

875

Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?

Sep 17, 6:10 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM

84.54%chance

282358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2235

508

Will a new UK political party gain 50+ seats by the end of 2028? (In the house of commons)

Oct 27, 4:19 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.05%chance

172186

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1149

945

Life Extension Velocity (LEV) - for every year we survive, we gain an extra year - by 2036?

Mar 11, 1:28 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

33.85%chance

131735

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

415

Will Unreal Engine gain official WebGPU export support before Jan 1st 2027?

Jul 2, 7:12 PMDec 31, 3:59 PM

51.71%chance

16926

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1184

725

Will there be reports of an AI playing a significant role in biological gain-of-function research before 2030?

Jun 25, 1:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.14%chance

13569

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1187

932

Will the Rockstar games workers gain union recognition before the release of GTAVI?

Dec 15, 11:25 PMJun 22, 10:59 PM

40.26%chance

5381

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1218

821

Will Martinique gain independence before 2030?

Jul 8, 4:59 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

41.45%chance

7316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1188

841

Will at least 2 of Myself, Nathan young and Stefan Schubert be gainfully employed on Jan 1st 2035?

Jan 20, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

51.26%chance

275

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1026

975

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