OptionProbability
Coding agents will close the loop
Recursively improving coding agents will succeed in the market
Coding agents will flip the initiative
The specific model will not matter as much as today; the network of agents will be important
The multi-agent paradigm will win
“Live learning” will be standard
xAI will gain a sizable lead in model quality
80
72
70
61
55
25
20
OptionVotes
NO
YES
1539
650
2052
747
1367
1695
814
1200
833