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Gains Network News
Prediction markets for Gains Network
Prediction markets for Gains Network
Will "Rail Baltica" be operational by mid-2030?
May 21, 10:38 AM
Jul 1, 8:59 PM
11.12%
chance
23
5262
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2144
735
[MIT AI Risk Initiative] Will an AI system autonomously access restricted high-risk systems or data by end of 2045?
Dec 4, 3:33 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
71.98%
chance
10
2928
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1603
624
(AI virus) When will an AI first replicate onto new hardware against user intent?
Jan 1, 1:59 AM
Dec 24, 5:01 AM
29.57%
chance
24
2467
Option
Probability
YES
NO
1368
747
Is 1,000 atoms ever sufficient for the experience of suffering, under any design or any circumstance? (Upgradable KBC, resolves in 2025)
Feb 6, 3:45 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.6%
chance
23
1084
Option
Votes
YES
NO
1745
806
will professor jiang get labelled as a anti semite in 2026
Dec 31, 2:26 AM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
44%
chance
8
120
Option
Votes
YES
NO
113
89
Will I attend the High-throughput microplastic identification and analysis workshop in 2026?
Nov 12, 8:33 PM
3
0
If AI were the internet, what year would we be in with regards to progress and maturity
Feb 16, 11:53 PM
28
0
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