OptionProbability
Coding agents will close the loop
Recursively improving coding agents will succeed in the market
Coding agents will flip the initiative
The specific model will not matter as much as today; the network of agents will be important
The multi-agent paradigm will win
“Live learning” will be standard
xAI will gain a sizable lead in model quality
80
77
70
61
55
25
19
OptionVotes
YES
NO
2044
748
1367
747
1695
814
1200
833
128
78