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Prediction markets for Gains
Will there be any tax on unrealized capital gains in the USA before eoy2028?
Aug 20, 7:23 PMDec 31, 1:29 PM
13.85%chance
324296
OptionVotes
2494
401
Will Sam Altman leverage OpenAI's success to substantial personal gain?
Sep 17, 6:10 AMDec 19, 4:59 AM
84.33%chance
272338
OptionVotes
2215
512
Will I gain kernel-level privileges on my Switch 2, in 2025?
May 7, 3:27 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
33%chance
182262
OptionVotes
1425
702
Will the Democrats gain 38+ seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 US midterm elections?
Mar 29, 7:07 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
46.97%chance
221847
OptionVotes
1063
941
Will HTMX gain significant traction before the end of 2025?
Oct 8, 11:22 AMJan 3, 2:29 AM
46.13%chance
221492
OptionVotes
1034
958
Will 2 more parties claim to have achieved net gains in fusion energy by 2026?
Dec 14, 2:03 PMJan 1, 2:59 AM
60.99%chance
29663
OptionVotes
1172
581
Fortune 500 company attributes >10% productivity gains to AI by Q2 2026?
Aug 8, 12:43 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM
60.37%chance
7544
OptionVotes
1234
810
Will there be reports of an AI playing a significant role in biological gain-of-function research before 2030?
Jun 25, 1:46 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM
76%chance
11419
OptionVotes
1037
975
OptionVotes
1173
852
OptionVotes
1138
879
Will at least 2 of Myself, Nathan young and Stefan Schubert be gainfully employed on Jan 1st 2035?
Jan 20, 7:20 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
51.26%chance
275
OptionVotes
1026
975
Will the deadline for deferring capital gains using qualified opportunity zone funds be extended?
Aug 23, 12:31 AMSep 23, 3:59 AM
39.09%chance
125
OptionVotes
1125
1080