GAMBLE News

MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

Oct 22, 8:28 PMJul 4, 8:40 PM

9040123

OptionProbability

The Manifold Logo

Crane Hexes - by Pat Scott

“Anti gambling gambling club” - by andri

Trustworthy-ish - by Pat Scott

“Put your Mana where your mouth is” - by MIMIR MAGNVS

“This meeting could have been a market” - by andri

“Calibrated measures” - by andri

“my waifu / predicts the future" - Pat Scott

“ I just lost mana because of that” - by andri

“It’s not 🤮crypto🤮 it’s play money” - by andri

Gambling on Twitter / X by 2030

Feb 2, 5:29 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

54.88%chance

231428

OptionVotes

YES

361

316

Will Shohei Ohtani be caught gambling before the end of 2033?

Mar 21, 2:10 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

5.56%chance

101042

OptionVotes

YES

916

119

Will Trump eliminate taxes on gambling winnings?

Dec 11, 6:57 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

8932

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will 10% or more of new Manifold users develop a gambling addiction that they categorize as problematic?

Nov 19, 1:37 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

18.91%chance

8597

OptionVotes

YES

274

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Jul 14, 2:29 PMApr 15, 10:59 PM

4216

OptionProbability

Gambling losses deduction remains limited to 90% as laid out in OBBB

Congress explicitly intervenes to restore 100% deduction (example Rep Titus FAIR BET act enacted)

Mainstream pro gamblers move primarily to prediction markets for tax treatment

Administrative action classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Court ruling classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Legislation classifies sports prediction markets as gambling for tax purposes

Major sports book goes bankrupt because of OBBB by 2027-01-01

Major sports book restructures as a prediction market before 2026-01-01

Ohio Gambling Recovery wins case against Kalshi?

Jun 17, 9:08 PMDec 31, 9:04 PM

26.86%chance

4195

OptionVotes

YES

165

Will Jon R. Moeller (CEO of Procter & Gamble) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Mar 28, 12:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.01%chance

5146

OptionVotes

YES

260

Will Trump administration eliminate federal income tax on gambling winnings?

Dec 12, 8:40 PMJan 15, 11:59 PM

25%chance

583

OptionVotes

YES

173

Will Betfred become the number 1 gambling app in the UK by EOY 2027

Mar 17, 4:47 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20%chance

OptionVotes

YES

100

Is betting on prediction markets more like investing in the stock market or gambling?

Apr 3, 1:38 AM

430

Is betting on prediction market almost the same as gambling?

Apr 3, 1:35 AM

420

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Prediction markets for GAMBLE

Prediction markets for GAMBLE

Prediction markets for GAMBLE

MANA MERCH SHOP: Which designs will be added to the mana merch store?

Gambling on Twitter / X by 2030

Will Shohei Ohtani be caught gambling before the end of 2033?

Will Trump eliminate taxes on gambling winnings?

Will 10% or more of new Manifold users develop a gambling addiction that they categorize as problematic?

2026 Gambling Loss Tax Rules Prop Bets

Ohio Gambling Recovery wins case against Kalshi?

Will Jon R. Moeller (CEO of Procter & Gamble) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will Trump administration eliminate federal income tax on gambling winnings?

Will Betfred become the number 1 gambling app in the UK by EOY 2027

Is betting on prediction markets more like investing in the stock market or gambling?

Is betting on prediction market almost the same as gambling?

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