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10 months ago

Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Aug 28, 7:08 AMSep 5, 6:59 AM

5.16%chance

212891

OptionVotes

YES

2578

832

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Dec 28, 6:26 AMJan 2, 5:59 AM

20.56%chance

302137

OptionVotes

YES

1695

697

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

Mar 14, 10:02 PMApr 1, 7:00 AM

31.32%chance

351387

OptionVotes

YES

1371

650

When will Larian Studios announce Baldur's Gate 4?

Dec 28, 10:30 AMNov 13, 10:59 PM

201210

OptionProbability

Never

Other

2025

2026

2024

Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?

Mar 17, 5:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29.82%chance

141067

OptionVotes

YES

1310

835

Will Golden Gate Park charge for street parking by 2026-06-30?

Feb 24, 12:01 AMJul 1, 6:59 AM

5589

OptionProbability

No metered parking happens before 2026-06-30

2026-01-01 to 2026-03-31

2026-04-01 to 2026-06-30

2025-10-01 to 2025-12-31

Before 2025-09-30

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65%chance

13524

OptionVotes

YES

1130

635

Will Bill Gates (Microsoft, philanthropy) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

May 11, 2:32 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.54%chance

8324

OptionVotes

YES

494

120

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

Jan 19, 8:30 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

79.53%chance

13291

OptionVotes

YES

1247

915

When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes

Mar 15, 5:46 PMMar 15, 5:41 PM

2176

OptionProbability

by dec 31 2026

2029 or later

By Dec 31 2028

By Dec 31 2027

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Richard Ngo?

Apr 1, 10:16 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.16%chance

4109

OptionVotes

YES

240

113

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

Apr 1, 10:17 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

28.1%chance

480

OptionVotes

YES

219

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Will Bill Gates be cryopreserved?

Will Larian Studios release another Baldur's Gate game by 2033?

Will any car drive itself from the Empire State Building to the Golden Gate Bridge before April 2028?

When will Larian Studios announce Baldur's Gate 4?

Will Waymo give public driverless rides across the Golden Gate Bridge by the end of 2026?

Will Golden Gate Park charge for street parking by 2026-06-30?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2040?

Will Bill Gates (Microsoft, philanthropy) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Will Bill Gates be alive through the end of 2030?

When Will Bill Gates Net Worth Be Less Than 6% of Elon Per Forbes

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Richard Ngo?

Will a logic gate, exotic transistor, or circuit motif be named after Michael Nielsen OR Adam marblestone?

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