Gaza Government News

Gaza City Families Stay Amid Israeli Strikes, Evacuation Orders to 19 Disputed Zones Ahead of Military Operation

3 months ago

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

Jan 22, 4:43 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.79%chance

5056932

OptionVotes

YES

16883

9396

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Nov 2, 6:19 PMNov 9, 11:59 PM

22427674

OptionProbability

Hamas

Israel

Technocratic committee, not elected, internationally supervised

International Peacekeeping Force

PLO

Other

Arab only Peacekeeping Force

A new Gaza-elected government

United States

Territorial rule by tribal clans

PLA

African Peacekeeping Force

Egypt

United Arab Emirates

Qatar

Jordan

Saudi Arabia

Palestinian Islamic Jihad

Turkey

Will any US troops be deployed to fight in/occupy Gaza in 2025?

Feb 5, 1:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

3.45%chance

7514713

OptionVotes

YES

5294

189

What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)?

Oct 31, 4:20 PMDec 23, 9:59 PM

413594

OptionProbability

Permanently occupy Gaza like they’re occupying the West Bank

Other

Kill some Hamas leaders, then get out

Install a puppet government

Permanently cut gaza in half, occupy the North

Get bogged down in a stalemate

Will construction of a permanent Israeli settlement in Gaza begin by the end of 2025?

Nov 8, 2:49 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

3.91%chance

263118

OptionVotes

YES

495

Israeli settler presence in Gaza before 2026?

Jun 7, 8:30 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

3.37%chance

122329

OptionVotes

YES

2574

351

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Jul 29, 11:29 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

21970

OptionProbability

Above 0

Above 1

Above 4

Above 6

100

Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?

Mar 15, 3:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.36%chance

13853

OptionVotes

YES

1027

961

Tony Blair joins Trump's "Board of Peace" for Gaza?

Oct 4, 7:36 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM

48%chance

8419

OptionVotes

YES

1004

996

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

Oct 21, 12:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

72.21%chance

6195

OptionVotes

YES

161

Multibet Mansion – combine multiple bets into one

Oct 13, 12:58 AMDec 30, 2:31 PM

3164

OptionProbability

In 2025: [Trump is on Time’s Person of the Year shortlist] and [Trump cuts >250,000 government employees]

In 2025: [Pope Leo XIV named Time’s Person of the Year] and [Pope Leo XIV openly criticises Trump]

By end of 2026: [Iran closes Strait of Hormuz] and [Iran acquires nuclear weapon]

[Wikipedia declares Israeli victory in Gaza war] and [Wikipedia declares Ukrainian victory against Russia]

Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?

Oct 20, 12:40 AMOct 7, 7:02 PM

50%chance

245

OptionVotes

YES

100

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Prediction markets for Gaza Government

Prediction markets for Gaza Government

Prediction markets for Gaza Government

Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?

After 6 months without open warfare, who will be in control of Gaza?

Will any US troops be deployed to fight in/occupy Gaza in 2025?

What is Israel’s medium-term plan (what will end up happening?)?

Will construction of a permanent Israeli settlement in Gaza begin by the end of 2025?

Israeli settler presence in Gaza before 2026?

How many G7 countries recognize Palestine by end of 2026?

Will the United States military fully leave Iraq by the end of 2028?

Tony Blair joins Trump's "Board of Peace" for Gaza?

Gaza genocide still labeled as genocide by Wikipedia in 2030?

Multibet Mansion – combine multiple bets into one

Will Israel hand over Hamas-free parts of Gaza to Trump's ISF?

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